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Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc prediction

Czechia · Czech Liga

Hradec Králové#11 · 18 ptsLLDLL

5 - 0Full time

Sigma Olomouc#5 · 24 ptsWDWDL

26%31%42%

Pre-match probabilities

🟥 Vaclav Sejk 39'⚽ Tomáš Čvančara 45' (p)⚽ Tom Sloncik 49'⚽ Tomáš Čvančara 57'⚽ Mick Van Buren 69'⚽ Ondřej Mihálik 87'

Saturday, November 7 · 09:00 (Peru time) · Malsovicka arena · Referee: Benes Jan

🎯 Model pick

Sigma Olomouc to score

77%

Full data

Sigma Olomouc scored in 11 of 13 matches this season
Sigma Olomouc average 1.7 goals per match
Hradec Králové concede 1.3 goals per match

⚡ Summary

42%Sigma Olomouc to win@2.36 49%Over 2.5 goals@2.04 57%Both teams to score@1.75 64%Corners +9.5 (11.3)@1.5731%Cards +4.5 (3.6)@3.251-1Most likely score · 14%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

87'⚽ Ondřej Mihálik assist Jakub KuceraHradec Králové

83'🔁 Sub: Mick Van Buren · Rodrigo AbajasHradec Králové

82'🔁 Sub: Dominik Janosek · Fabijan KrivakSigma Olomouc

82'🔁 Sub: Marko Soldo · David TkáčSigma Olomouc

82'🔁 Sub: Filip Cihak · Juraj ChvátalHradec Králové

76'🟨 Filip CihakHradec Králové

70'🔁 Sub: Samuel Dancak · Matej ValentaHradec Králové

70'🔁 Sub: Tom Sloncik · Abdullahi UmarHradec Králové

69'⚽ Mick Van Buren assist Ondřej MihálikHradec Králové

64'🔁 Sub: Ahmad Ghali Abubakar · Filip SlavicekSigma Olomouc

64'🔁 Sub: Abdoulaye Sylla · Tomáš HukSigma Olomouc

60'🔁 Sub: Tomáš Čvančara · Ondřej MihálikHradec Králové

57'⚽ Tomáš ČvančaraHradec Králové

49'📺 Tom SloncikHradec Králové

49'⚽ Tom Sloncik assist Daniel TrubačHradec Králové

45'+3⚽ Tomáš Čvančara (pen.)Hradec Králové

45'🔁 Sub: Michal Beran · Hilmir Rafn MikaelssonSigma Olomouc

39'🟨 Tomáš ČvančaraHradec Králové

39'🟥 Vaclav SejkSigma Olomouc

Win probability minute by minute

Hradec KrálovéDrawSigma Olomouc

At kick-off26%31%42%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

26%Hradec Králové to win@3.79

31%Draw@3.20

42%Sigma Olomouc to win@2.36

Over 1.5 goals75%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals29%

Both teams to score57%

Hradec Králové or draw58%

Sigma Olomouc or draw74%

Hradec Králové to score69%

Sigma Olomouc to score77%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-09%0-19%1-28%0-27%

Expected goals per the model: Hradec Králové 1.17 · Sigma Olomouc 1.51

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.68.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 11.3 in total · Hradec Králové 5.6 · Sigma Olomouc 5.7

73%Over 8.5@1.37

64%Over 9.5@1.57

54%Over 10.5@1.84

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.6

47%Over 3.5@2.12

31%Over 4.5@3.25

19%Over 5.5@5.38

⏱️ First half

39% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.04

65%Goal in the 1st half@1.55

28%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.60

81%Goal in the 2st half@1.24

⚽ Goals per team

33%Hradec Králové +1.5@3.06

45%Sigma Olomouc +1.5@2.24

13%Hradec Králové to win to nil@7.60

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

3.64Expected goals (xG)0.34

11Shots on target1

1Saves6

2Offsides2

23Shots6

2Yellow cards0

9Corners2

0Red cards1

10Fouls6

64Possession %36

Goals in the last 10 matches

Hradec Králové · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Sigma Olomouc · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Hradec KrálovéSigma Olomouc

1.0Goals scored per match1.7

1.3Goals conceded per match1.1

63%Matches with over 1.5 goals85%

53%Matches with over 2.5 goals69%

53%Both teams to score62%

21%Clean sheet23%

42%Matches without scoring15%

5.2Corners won per match4.6

2.1Yellow cards per match1.3

Hradec Králové: 19 matches · Sigma Olomouc: 13 matches (all competitions with data).

Hradec Králové at home · Sigma Olomouc away

Hradec Králové at home

4G1E5P

LLLDW

Sigma Olomouc away

3G2E2P

DDWLW

When do they score and concede?

Hradec Králové · goals by minute in 19 matches scored conceded

Sigma Olomouc · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Hradec Králové

Scores first in 6 of 16 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 3.

Sigma Olomouc

Scores first in 10 of 13 matches and wins 7 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Hradec Králové

Filip Cihak · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

V. Darida · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

Daniel Horak · 0 goles, 2 assists in 2 matches

Sigma Olomouc

Vaclav Sejk · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Ahmad Ghali Abubakar · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Matej Hadas · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

4Hradec Králové to win

4Draws

2Sigma Olomouc to win

10 matches · 2.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-01-31	Sigma Olomouc 1-0 Hradec Králové	Czech Liga
2025-08-24	Hradec Králové 1-0 Sigma Olomouc	Czech Liga
2025-03-16	Sigma Olomouc 1-2 Hradec Králové	Czech Liga
2024-10-19	Hradec Králové 1-1 Sigma Olomouc	Czech Liga
2024-05-12	Sigma Olomouc 1-3 Hradec Králové	Czech Liga
2024-05-05	Hradec Králové 3-1 Sigma Olomouc	Czech Liga

Standings

Czech Liga standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Slavia Praha	14	+28	34
2	Slovan Liberec	13	+8	26
3	Mlada Boleslav	14	+7	25
4	Sparta Praha	14	+12	24
5	Sigma Olomouc	14	+2	24
6	Teplice	14	0	21
7	FK Jablonec	14	-2	21
8	Plzen	14	+7	20
9	Bohemians 1905	14	0	20
10	Zbrojovka Brno	14	-5	20
11	Hradec Králové	14	-1	18
12	Pardubice	14	-1	17
13	Baník Ostrava	13	-13	14
14	Artis	14	-13	10
15	Slovácko	14	-13	10
16	Zlin	14	-16	3

More stats

Half-time

Hradec Králové: 6 days since last match · Sigma Olomouc: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 16:30 UTC.