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Heerenveen vs Feyenoord prediction
Netherlands · Eredivisie
Heerenveen
FeyenoordPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 06:15 (Peru time) · Abe Lenstra Stadion · Referee: Danny Makkelie
Feyenoord or draw
81%- Away, Feyenoord are 5W 1D 2L this season
- #2 in the table, Heerenveen #6
- Head to head: 6W 2D 2L for Feyenoord
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Heerenveen 1.35 · Feyenoord 2.26
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.61.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.9 in total · Heerenveen 4.4 · Feyenoord 5.5
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 2.8 · el árbitro Danny Makkelie saca 3.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.45
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Heerenveen: 11 matches · Feyenoord: 15 matches (all competitions with data).
Heerenveen at home · Feyenoord away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 5 of 10 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 9 of 15 matches and wins 7 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
J. Trenskow · 4 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
M. Rivera · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches
Levi Smans · 0 goles, 3 assists in 4 matches
Sem Steijn · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
Luciano Valente · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Anis Hadj Moussa · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.1 goals per match
| 2026-01-11 | Heerenveen 2-2 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| 2025-12-17 | Feyenoord 2-3 Heerenveen | KNVB Beker |
| 2025-09-13 | Feyenoord 1-0 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| 2025-05-18 | Heerenveen 2-0 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| 2024-11-23 | Feyenoord 3-0 Heerenveen | Eredivisie |
| 2024-03-17 | Heerenveen 2-3 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | +25 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | +17 | 25 |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | +18 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | -13 | 12 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | -29 | 3 |
More stats
21 matches · 3.0 yellows and 0.25 reds per match · 0.42 penalties
Heerenveen: 7 days since last match · Feyenoord: 4 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 13:50 UTC.