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Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk prediction
Scotland · Premiership
Heart Of Midlothian
FalkirkPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 10:00 (Peru time) · Tynecastle Park · Referee: Matthew McDermid
Heart Of Midlothian to score
84%- Heart Of Midlothian scored in 17 of 20 matches this season
- Heart Of Midlothian average 1.6 goals per match
- Miller is on fire: 2 goals in his last 4 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Heart Of Midlothian 1.87 · Falkirk 1.07
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.94.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.0 in total · Heart Of Midlothian 6.4 · Falkirk 4.7
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.9
⏱️ First half
52% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.52
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Heart Of Midlothian: 20 matches · Falkirk: 12 matches (all competitions with data).
Heart Of Midlothian at home · Falkirk away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 8 of 20 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 5.
Scores first in 8 of 11 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
Calvin Miller · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Claudio Rafael Soares Braga · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
S. Findlay · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches
Jacob Murrell · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Ryan Strain · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Ethan Ross · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.4 goals per match
| 2026-09-15 | Falkirk 2-1 Heart Of Midlothian | Premiership |
| 2026-05-13 | Heart Of Midlothian 3-0 Falkirk | Premiership |
| 2026-02-21 | Heart Of Midlothian 1-0 Falkirk | Premiership |
| 2026-01-17 | Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 Falkirk | FA Cup |
| 2025-12-13 | Falkirk 0-2 Heart Of Midlothian | Premiership |
| 2025-09-27 | Heart Of Midlothian 3-0 Falkirk | Premiership |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 13 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 | Rangers | 12 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 13 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 | Heart Of Midlothian | 12 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 | Dundee | 12 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 13 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 13 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 13 | -16 | 9 |
More stats
Heart Of Midlothian: 2 days since last match · Falkirk: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 17:30 UTC.