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Haverfordwest County AFC vs Cardiff MET prediction
Wales · Premier League
Haverfordwest County AFC
Cardiff METPre-match probabilities
Friday, November 6 · 14:45 (Peru time) · Bridge Meadow Stadium · Referee: R. Wright
Haverfordwest County AFC to score
77%- Cardiff MET concede 1.5 goals per match
- Ahmun is on fire: 2 goals in his last 5 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Haverfordwest County AFC 1.51 · Cardiff MET 1.24
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.75.
Corners, cards and first half
⏱️ First half
28% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.78
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Haverfordwest County AFC: 15 matches · Cardiff MET: 15 matches (all competitions with data).
Haverfordwest County AFC at home · Cardiff MET away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 5 of 15 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 9 of 15 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Head to head
10 matches · 1.4 goals per match
| 2026-09-29 | Cardiff MET 1-0 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| 2026-03-13 | Haverfordwest County AFC 1-0 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| 2026-01-23 | Cardiff MET 0-2 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| 2025-12-30 | Cardiff MET 0-0 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| 2025-08-22 | Haverfordwest County AFC 2-2 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| 2025-04-11 | Cardiff MET 1-1 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 16 | +48 | 44 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 16 | +25 | 38 |
| 3 | Penybont | 15 | +21 | 36 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay | 16 | +10 | 32 |
| 5 | Airbus UK | 16 | +10 | 30 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 16 | +21 | 29 |
| 7 | Barry Town | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 8 | Cardiff MET | 16 | +6 | 25 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 16 | -15 | 19 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 16 | -7 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 16 | -11 | 16 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 16 | -11 | 15 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 16 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 16 | -30 | 12 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 16 | -29 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 15 | -36 | 2 |
More stats
8 matches · – yellows and – reds per match · 0.50 penalties
Haverfordwest County AFC: 7 days since last match · Cardiff MET: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 22:20 UTC.