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Hapoel Katamon vs Bnei Sakhnin prediction

Israel · Ligat Ha'al

Hapoel Katamon#10 · 9 ptsDLLLW

1 - 1Full time

Bnei Sakhnin#7 · 13 ptsDWWDW

39%30%31%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Modestas Vorobjovas 18'⚽ Vitalie Damașcan 49'

Saturday, November 7 · 11:00 (Peru time) · Taddi Malcha

🎯 Model pick

Hapoel Katamon to score

72%

Full data

Hapoel Katamon scored in 7 of 9 matches this season
Hapoel Katamon average 1.7 goals per match
Vrasana is on fire: 4 goals in his last 5 matches

⚡ Summary

39%Hapoel Katamon to win@2.56 44%Over 2.5 goals@2.29 51%Both teams to score@1.97 50%Corners +9.5 (9.8)@2.0246%Cards +4.5 (4.5)@2.171-1Most likely score · 14%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+4🟨 Iyad Abu AbaidBnei Sakhnin

83'🔁 Sub: Li On Mizrahi · Idan CohenHapoel Katamon

79'🔁 Sub: Mathew Anim Cudjoe · Loai HalafBnei Sakhnin

79'🔁 Sub: Ahmad Taha · Jubayer BushnakBnei Sakhnin

78'🔁 Sub: omer agvadish · Omer AbuhavHapoel Katamon

78'🔁 Sub: Vitalie Damașcan · nati shafrauHapoel Katamon

71'🔁 Sub: Ahmed Ibrahim Salman · Antonio SeferBnei Sakhnin

71'🔁 Sub: Daniel Paraschiv · basil khuriBnei Sakhnin

65'🔁 Sub: israel dappa · Edward ChilufyaHapoel Katamon

60'🔁 Sub: Ilay Hajaj · maroun gantusBnei Sakhnin

59'🟨 ori dahanBnei Sakhnin

49'⚽ Vitalie DamașcanHapoel Katamon

45'🔁 Sub: ohad almagor · N. VrasanaHapoel Katamon

35'🟨 Vitalie DamașcanHapoel Katamon

18'⚽ Modestas VorobjovasBnei Sakhnin

11'🟨 Ahmad TahaBnei Sakhnin

Win probability minute by minute

Hapoel KatamonDrawBnei Sakhnin

At kick-off39%30%31%Full time0%100%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

39%Hapoel Katamon to win@2.56

30%Draw@3.30

31%Bnei Sakhnin to win@3.26

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Both teams to score51%

Hapoel Katamon or draw69%

Bnei Sakhnin or draw61%

Hapoel Katamon to score72%

Bnei Sakhnin to score67%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-011%1-010%0-19%2-18%

Expected goals per the model: Hapoel Katamon 1.31 · Bnei Sakhnin 1.13

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.44.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.8 in total · Hapoel Katamon 5.2 · Bnei Sakhnin 4.6

60%Over 8.5@1.67

50%Over 9.5@2.02

40%Over 10.5@2.51

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.5

63%Over 3.5@1.59

46%Over 4.5@2.17

32%Over 5.5@3.17

⏱️ First half

54% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.31

73%Goal in the 1st half@1.37

38%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.65

68%Goal in the 2st half@1.48

⚽ Goals per team

38%Hapoel Katamon +1.5@2.65

31%Bnei Sakhnin +1.5@3.21

22%Hapoel Katamon to win to nil@4.52

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.80Expected goals (xG)0.82

4Shots on target6

5Saves3

3Offsides0

13Shots13

1Yellow cards3

4Corners7

21Fouls10

0Red cards0

56Possession %44

Goals in the last 10 matches

Hapoel Katamon · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals8/10both teams to score3.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Bnei Sakhnin · last 10 matches

2/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score1.6goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Hapoel KatamonBnei Sakhnin

1.7Goals scored per match0.8

2.4Goals conceded per match0.8

89%Matches with over 1.5 goals44%

78%Matches with over 2.5 goals22%

78%Both teams to score33%

0%Clean sheet56%

22%Matches without scoring33%

3.2Corners won per match4.3

2.4Yellow cards per match2.0

Hapoel Katamon: 9 matches · Bnei Sakhnin: 9 matches (all competitions with data).

Hapoel Katamon at home · Bnei Sakhnin away

Hapoel Katamon at home

1G0E3P

LLWLL

Bnei Sakhnin away

1G2E1P

WDLDL

When do they score and concede?

Hapoel Katamon · goals by minute in 9 matches scored conceded

Bnei Sakhnin · goals by minute in 9 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Hapoel Katamon

Scores first in 4 of 9 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 3.

Bnei Sakhnin

Scores first in 4 of 7 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Hapoel Katamon

N. Vrasana · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Christ Junior Tiehi · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

andrew idoko · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Bnei Sakhnin

Mathew Anim Cudjoe · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

Leeroy Owusu · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

ori dahan · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

4Hapoel Katamon to win

3Draws

3Bnei Sakhnin to win

10 matches · 1.8 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-10	Hapoel Katamon 1-0 Bnei Sakhnin	Ligat Ha'al
2026-01-31	Bnei Sakhnin 0-0 Hapoel Katamon	Ligat Ha'al
2025-10-25	Hapoel Katamon 0-0 Bnei Sakhnin	Ligat Ha'al
2025-03-15	Hapoel Katamon 4-1 Bnei Sakhnin	Ligat Ha'al
2025-03-08	Bnei Sakhnin 0-2 Hapoel Katamon	Ligat Ha'al
2024-12-08	Hapoel Katamon 1-0 Bnei Sakhnin	Ligat Ha'al

Standings

Ligat Ha'al standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Hapoel Tel Aviv	10	+15	25
2	Maccabi Tel Aviv	10	+21	24
3	Hapoel Beer Sheva	10	+9	22
4	Beitar Jerusalem	10	+3	18
5	Maccabi Haifa	10	+1	18
6	Maccabi Netanya	10	+8	16
7	Bnei Sakhnin	10	0	13
8	Hapoel Haifa	10	-5	12
9	Maccabi Petah Tikva	10	-7	10
10	Hapoel Katamon	10	-7	9
11	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	10	-8	7
12	Hapoel Petah Tikva	10	-12	6
13	Hapoel Ramat Gan	10	-14	6
14	Ironi Tiberias	10	-4	4

More stats

Half-time

Hapoel Katamon: 6 days since last match · Bnei Sakhnin: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC.