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Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI prediction

International · UEFA Europa League
Hapoel Beer Sheva badgeHapoel Beer Sheva#33 · 1 ptsWWLWL
0 - 2Full time
OFI badgeOFI#16 · 6 ptsWWLLL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Achilleas Poungouras 45'⚽ Taxiarchis Fountas 56'

Thursday, November 5 · 15:00 (Peru time) · Giulești · Referee: Edgars Malcevs

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Hapoel Beer Sheva to score

79%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+3🟨 Djibril diopHapoel Beer Sheva
90'+2📺 Athanasios AndroutsosOFI
90'+2🔁 Sub: Athanasios Androutsos · Borja GonzálezOFI
90'+1🔁 Sub: Andreas Bouchalakis · Georgios KanellopoulosOFI
90'+1🔁 Sub: Thiago Nuss · Giannis TheodosoulakisOFI
83'🟨 Hamode KanaanHapoel Beer Sheva
80'🔁 Sub: Kenan Kodro · Zisis KarachaliosOFI
76'🔁 Sub: Matan Baltaksa · Pedro Miguel Santos AmadorHapoel Beer Sheva
75'🔁 Sub: Yonas Malede · Javon EastHapoel Beer Sheva
69'🟨 Forson AmankwahHapoel Beer Sheva
69'🔁 Sub: Forson Amankwah · Hamode KanaanHapoel Beer Sheva
64'🔁 Sub: Taxiarchis Fountas · Aitor CantalapiedraOFI
62'🔁 Sub: Adrián Ugarriza · Igor ZlatanovićHapoel Beer Sheva
62'🔁 Sub: Mohamad Abu Rumi · Amir Chaim·GanahHapoel Beer Sheva
56'⚽ Taxiarchis Fountas assist Nikolaos AthanasiouOFI
45'+2⚽ Achilleas PoungourasOFI
23'🟨 Nikolaos AthanasiouOFI

Win probability minute by minute

Hapoel Beer ShevaDrawOFI
At kick-off45%27%28%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

45%Hapoel Beer Sheva to win@2.24
27%Draw@3.73
28%OFI to win@3.51
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score57%
Hapoel Beer Sheva or draw72%
OFI or draw55%
Hapoel Beer Sheva to score79%
OFI to score70%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-09%2-19%0-08%2-07%

Expected goals per the model: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.62 · OFI 1.25

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals16%1 goals23%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals16%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.87.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.5 in total · Hapoel Beer Sheva 5.4 · OFI 4.2

57%Over 8.5@1.76
47%Over 9.5@2.15
37%Over 10.5@2.72
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.8

66%Over 3.5@1.51
50%Over 4.5@2.00
35%Over 5.5@2.86

⏱️ First half

35% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.00

63%Goal in the 1st half@1.58
26%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.78
85%Goal in the 2st half@1.18

⚽ Goals per team

48%Hapoel Beer Sheva +1.5@2.08
36%OFI +1.5@2.81
22%Hapoel Beer Sheva to win to nil@4.53

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.52Expected goals (xG)0.75
4Shots on target3
1Saves4
16Shots11
3Yellow cards1
4Corners2
0Offsides2
15Fouls10
0Red cards0
62Possession %38

Goals in the last 10 matches

Hapoel Beer Sheva · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score3.0goals per match
2.5vs Dinamo Zagreb: 0-0 0-0 vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona: 1-0 1-0 en Ironi Tiberias: 2-0 2-0 en AZ Alkmaar: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Hapoel Katamon: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Unión St. Gilloise: 0-4 0-4 en Maccabi Haifa: 5-2 5-2 ambosen Maccabi Petah Tikva: 5-2 5-2 ambosvs OFI: 0-2 0-2 vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: 0-1 0-1

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

OFI · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.7goals per match
2.5vs 1899 Hoffenheim: 2-0 2-0 vs Asteras Tripolis: 2-2 2-2 ambosen AEK Athens FC: 0-3 0-3 en Rennes: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Kalamata: 3-4 3-4 ambosvs Bayer Leverkusen: 0-2 0-2 vs PAOK: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Panetolikos: 1-0 1-0 at Hapoel Beer Sheva: 2-0 2-0 vs Atromitos: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Hapoel Beer ShevaOFI
1.8Goals scored per match1.6
1.4Goals conceded per match1.1
83%Matches with over 1.5 goals86%
61%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%
56%Both teams to score36%
39%Clean sheet50%
11%Matches without scoring14%
4.3Corners won per match3.9
2.8Yellow cards per match1.7

Hapoel Beer Sheva: 18 matches · OFI: 14 matches (all competitions with data).

Hapoel Beer Sheva at home · OFI away

Hapoel Beer Sheva at home
5G2E1P
WWDLD
OFI away
3G0E4P
WLLLW

When do they score and concede?

Hapoel Beer Sheva · goals by minute in 18 matches scored conceded
220-152116-303531-458446-608261-75101376-90
OFI · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
220-154216-304331-452246-602161-758676-90

The first goal

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Scores first in 11 of 17 matches and wins 9 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.

OFI

Scores first in 10 of 14 matches and wins 8 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Igor Zlatanović · 5 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Niv·Yehoshua · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Forson Amankwah · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

OFI

T. Nuss · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Taxiarchis Fountas · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Kenan Kodro · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Standings

UEFA Europa League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Benfica4+1012
2Bournemouth4+912
3Ferencvarosi TC4+812
4Unión St. Gilloise4+810
5Juventus4+710
6Olympiakos Piraeus4+310
7Bayer Leverkusen4+79
8Beşiktaş4+37
9Dinamo Zagreb4+17
10Levski Sofia4+17
11Sunderland407
12NEC Nijmegen4-17
13Lyon4-17
14AZ Alkmaar4+36
15Anderlecht4+36
16OFI4+16
17Rennes4+16
18Omonia Nicosia4-16
19Torreense4-26
20Real Sociedad4+55
21Crystal Palace4+35
22Sparta Praha404
231899 Hoffenheim404
24Sturm Graz4-34
25Celje4-44
26Red Bull Salzburg4-54
27Celta Vigo4-23
28AC Milan4-33
29Jagiellonia4-33
30Plzen4-43
31Marseille4-43
32Celtic4-53
33Hapoel Beer Sheva4-71
34Lillestrom4-81
35Lech Poznan4-101
36Ararat-Armenia4-100

More stats

Referee: Edgars Malcevs

2 matches · – yellows and – reds per match

Half-time

Hapoel Beer Sheva: 4 days since last match · OFI: 4 days

Hapoel Beer Sheva absences

D. Biton, Lucas Ventura, Y. Stoyanov, E. Peretz, I. Rotman

OFI absences

A. Chatzigiovanis, E. Chnaris, N. Christogeorgos, A. Leya Iseka, N. Marinakis

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC.

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