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Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction
Israel · Ligat Ha'al
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Tel AvivPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 13:30 (Peru time) · Toto Turner Stadium
Over 1.5 goals
77%- 2+ goals in 16 of 19 Hapoel Beer Sheva matches
- Also in 11 of 15 Hapoel Tel Aviv matches
- Head to head: 3.4 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.36 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.45
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.81.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.4 in total · Hapoel Beer Sheva 4.0 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 4.3
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.7
⏱️ First half
33% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.92
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Hapoel Beer Sheva: 19 matches · Hapoel Tel Aviv: 15 matches (all competitions with data).
Hapoel Beer Sheva at home · Hapoel Tel Aviv away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 11 of 18 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 11 of 13 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
Igor Zlatanović · 5 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Niv·Yehoshua · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Pedro Miguel Santos Amador · 0 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches
Omri Altman · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Yannick Leliendal · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
E. Boateng · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.4 goals per match
| 2026-05-15 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2026-05-02 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2026-01-19 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-10-04 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| 2025-08-16 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| 2025-04-22 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-5 Hapoel Beer Sheva | State Cup |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 10 | +15 | 25 |
| 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 10 | +21 | 24 |
| 3 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 10 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | Beitar Jerusalem | 10 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Maccabi Haifa | 10 | +1 | 18 |
| 6 | Maccabi Netanya | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 7 | Bnei Sakhnin | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | Hapoel Haifa | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 10 | -7 | 10 |
| 10 | Hapoel Katamon | 10 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 10 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 10 | -12 | 6 |
| 13 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 10 | -14 | 6 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 10 | -4 | 4 |
More stats
Hapoel Beer Sheva: 2 days since last match · Hapoel Tel Aviv: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 21:00 UTC.