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Hammarby FF vs IF Elfsborg prediction
Sweden · Allsvenskan
Hammarby FF
IF ElfsborgPre-match probabilities
Friday, 6 November · 13:00 (Peru time) · 3Arena · Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson
Over 1.5 goals
82%- 2+ goals in 25 of 31 Hammarby FF matches
- Also in 22 of 27 IF Elfsborg matches
- Picky expects 3.1 goals (2.3 - 0.9)
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Hammarby FF 2.26 · IF Elfsborg 0.89
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.15.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.9 in total · Hammarby FF 5.8 · IF Elfsborg 4.1
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.1 · el árbitro Kristoffer Karlsson saca 3.3 por partido
⏱️ First half
40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.26
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Hammarby FF: 31 matches · IF Elfsborg: 27 matches (all competitions with data).
Hammarby FF at home · IF Elfsborg away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 20 of 28 matches and wins 15 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 5.
Scores first in 15 of 24 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
Montader Madjed · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
Victor Lind · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Oscar Johansson · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Leo Hakan Ostman · 4 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Alexander Jensen · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches
Julius Magnusson · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.1 goals per match
| 2026-07-05 | IF Elfsborg 1-2 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-11-09 | Hammarby FF 3-0 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| 2025-05-31 | IF Elfsborg 0-2 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| 2024-09-22 | IF Elfsborg 0-0 Hammarby FF | Allsvenskan |
| 2024-04-15 | Hammarby FF 3-0 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| 2023-08-13 | Hammarby FF 1-0 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby FF | 28 | +37 | 58 |
| 2 | Sirius | 28 | +23 | 58 |
| 3 | Djurgardens IF | 28 | +29 | 52 |
| 4 | BK Hacken | 28 | +17 | 49 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 28 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 | Vasteras SK FK | 28 | +2 | 45 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 28 | +6 | 41 |
| 8 | AIK Stockholm | 28 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Gais | 28 | +8 | 40 |
| 10 | IFK Goteborg | 28 | -10 | 39 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 28 | -5 | 35 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 28 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 28 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 28 | -25 | 20 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 28 | -27 | 20 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 28 | -32 | 20 |
More stats
40 matches · 3.2 yellows and 0.17 reds per match · 0.06 penalties
Hammarby FF: 5 days since last match · IF Elfsborg: 5 days
A. Boudri, B. Hedlof
V. Elfstrom, P. Frick, L. Hagg
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 20:40 UTC.