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Gzira United vs Balzan FC prediction

Malta · Premier League
Gzira United badgeGzira United#12 · 5 ptsLDLDD
0 - 3Full time
Balzan FC badgeBalzan FC#10 · 11 ptsLLDLD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ N. Ignjatovic 29'⚽ N. Djoric 57'⚽ M. Yahaya 71'

Saturday, November 7 · 10:45 (Peru time) · Centenary Stadium

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Balzan FC to score

80%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

86'🔁 Sub: Leo Fernandes · L. LapiraBalzan FC
86'🔁 Sub: S. Guehi · Z. CassarBalzan FC
77'🔁 Sub: S. Cipriott · J. GrechBalzan FC
77'🔁 Sub: B. Borg · K. FroeseGzira United
74'🔁 Sub: Rosiel · Gabriel SantosBalzan FC
74'🔁 Sub: M. Yahaya · EdersonBalzan FC
71'⚽ M. YahayaBalzan FC
61'🔁 Sub: Luisinho · D. DjadjoGzira United
61'🔁 Sub: D. Farrugia · J. FariasGzira United
57'⚽ N. DjoricBalzan FC
29'⚽ N. IgnjatovicBalzan FC

Win probability minute by minute

Gzira UnitedDrawBalzan FC
At kick-off20%30%49%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

20%Gzira United to win@4.89
30%Draw@3.29
49%Balzan FC to win@2.04
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%
Gzira United or draw51%
Balzan FC or draw80%
Gzira United to score63%
Balzan FC to score80%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-110%0-010%1-29%0-29%

Expected goals per the model: Gzira United 1.01 · Balzan FC 1.63

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals19%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals14%4 goals13%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.64.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.14

68%Goal in the 1st half@1.47
31%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.18
78%Goal in the 2st half@1.29

⚽ Goals per team

27%Gzira United +1.5@3.73
48%Balzan FC +1.5@2.06
10%Gzira United to win to nil@9.63

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Gzira United · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.1goals per match
2.5at Balzan FC: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Floriana: 1-4 1-4 ambosvs Zabbar St. Patrick: 0-0 0-0 en Sliema Wanderers: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Mosta: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Hamrun Spartans: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Hibernians: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Birzebbuga: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Marsaxlokk: 0-5 0-5 vs Balzan FC: 0-3 0-3

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Balzan FC · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5vs Gzira United: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Birzebbuga: 3-0 3-0 en Valletta FC: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Sliema Wanderers: 0-0 0-0 en Floriana: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Zabbar St. Patrick: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Hamrun Spartans: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Birkirkara: 0-2 0-2 vs Hibernians: 1-2 1-2 ambosat Gzira United: 3-0 3-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Gzira UnitedBalzan FC
0.8Goals scored per match1.2
2.4Goals conceded per match1.3
91%Matches with over 1.5 goals91%
73%Matches with over 2.5 goals55%
64%Both teams to score73%
9%Clean sheet18%
36%Matches without scoring18%

Gzira United: 11 matches · Balzan FC: 11 matches (all competitions with data).

Gzira United at home · Balzan FC away

Gzira United at home
0G4E2P
LDDDD
Balzan FC away
0G3E1P
DDDL

When do they score and concede?

Gzira United · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded
120-151316-302331-451446-602461-7521076-90
Balzan FC · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded
600-151316-300431-451146-603361-752376-90

The first goal

Gzira United

Scores first in 3 of 10 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 3.

Balzan FC

Scores first in 5 of 10 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Gzira United

Saldanha · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

G. Mentz · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

A. Pllana · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Balzan FC

A. Dimeji · 2 goles, 0 assists in 3 matches

M. Yahaya · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

V. Kuach Yuel · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

2Gzira United to win
3Draws
5Balzan FC to win

10 matches · 1.6 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-08-29Balzan FC 2-1 Gzira UnitedPremier League
2026-07-17Balzan FC 1-0 Gzira UnitedFriendlies Clubs
2025-04-04Gzira United 0-0 Balzan FCPremier League
2025-03-28Gzira United 0-0 Balzan FCPremier League
2024-12-15Gzira United 2-1 Balzan FCPremier League
2024-10-03Balzan FC 2-1 Gzira UnitedPremier League

Standings

Premier League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Valletta FC11+1425
2Marsaxlokk11+720
3Sliema Wanderers11+118
4Hamrun Spartans11+417
5Floriana11+716
6Hibernians11-216
7Birkirkara11+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11+114
9Mosta11-514
10Balzan FC11-111
11Birzebbuga11-126
12Gzira United11-175

More stats

Half-time

Gzira United: 4 days since last match · Balzan FC: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 18:20 UTC.

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