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Grenada vs St. Kitts and Nevis prediction

International · Nations League Concacaf
Grenada badgeGrenadaLWLLL
15:00Fri Nov 13

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 15:00 (Peru time)

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

83%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Grenada and St. Kitts and Nevis meet in the Nations League Concacaf.

The PickMania model gives Grenada a 23% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 54% for St. Kitts and Nevis.

3.4 total goals are expected (1.3 from Grenada and 2.1 from St. Kitts and Nevis): over 2.5 goals has a 63% chance and both teams to score 63%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

23%Grenada to win@4.37
23%Draw@4.31
54%St. Kitts and Nevis to win@1.85
Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals63%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams to score63%
Grenada or draw46%
St. Kitts and Nevis or draw77%
Grenada to score72%
St. Kitts and Nevis to score86%

Most likely scores

1-110%1-29%0-27%0-17%1-36%

Expected goals per the model: Grenada 1.31 · St. Kitts and Nevis 2.08

How many goals will there be?

3%0 goals11%1 goals19%2 goals22%3 goals19%4 goals25%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.39.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.0 in total · Grenada 5.3 · St. Kitts and Nevis 4.8

62%Over 8.5@1.62
51%Over 9.5@1.95
41%Over 10.5@2.41
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.8

49%Over 3.5@2.03
33%Over 4.5@3.05
20%Over 5.5@4.96

⏱️ First half

50% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.70

82%Goal in the 1st half@1.22
51%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@1.98
82%Goal in the 2st half@1.22

⚽ Goals per team

38%Grenada +1.5@2.65
62%St. Kitts and Nevis +1.5@1.63
9%Grenada to win to nil@11.36

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Grenada · last 7 matches
6/7+2.5 goals3/7both teams to score3.9goals per match
2.5vs US Virgin Islands: 4-1 4-1 ambosvs Jamaica: 0-1 0-1 en Rep. Of Ireland: 0-5 0-5 vs Cuba: 0-3 0-3 at St. Kitts and Nevis: 0-3 0-3 en Bonaire: 3-2 3-2 ambosvs Bonaire: 1-4 1-4 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

St. Kitts and Nevis · last 4 matches
4/4+2.5 goals3/4both teams to score4.0goals per match
2.5en Bonaire: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Grenada: 3-0 3-0 vs Cuba: 3-3 3-3 ambosen Cuba: 2-2 2-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

GrenadaSt. Kitts and Nevis
1.6Goals scored per match2.5
2.6Goals conceded per match1.5
100%Matches with over 1.5 goals100%
100%Matches with over 2.5 goals100%
60%Both teams to score75%
0%Clean sheet25%
40%Matches without scoring0%
6.5Corners won per match4.3
2.3Yellow cards per match1.5

Grenada: 5 matches · St. Kitts and Nevis: 4 matches (all competitions with data).

Grenada at home · St. Kitts and Nevis away

Grenada at home
1G0E2P
LLLW
St. Kitts and Nevis away
1G1E0P
DW

When do they score and concede?

Grenada · goals by minute in 4 matches scored conceded
130-150216-300131-452146-601161-750476-90
St. Kitts and Nevis · goals by minute in 4 matches scored conceded
110-153216-301131-450146-601061-754176-90

The first goal

Grenada

Scores first in 1 of 4 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.

St. Kitts and Nevis

Scores first in 3 of 4 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Grenada

B. Ettienne · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

S. John-Brown · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

C. Redhead · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

St. Kitts and Nevis

T. Williams · 8 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

K. Kelly · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

R. Sawyers · 0 goles, 2 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

4Grenada to win
1Draws
1St. Kitts and Nevis to win

6 matches · 3.8 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-09-29St. Kitts and Nevis 3-0 GrenadaCONCACAF Nations League
2025-06-10St. Kitts and Nevis 2-3 GrenadaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
2019-11-14St. Kitts and Nevis 0-0 GrenadaCONCACAF Nations League
2019-09-06Grenada 2-1 St. Kitts and NevisCONCACAF Nations League
2017-12-03St. Kitts and Nevis 1-9 GrenadaFriendlies
2010-10-24Grenada 2-0 St. Kitts and NevisCaribbean Cup

More stats

Half-time

Grenada: 38 days since last match · St. Kitts and Nevis: 38 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.

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