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Göztepe vs Başakşehir prediction

Turkey · Süper Lig
Göztepe badgeGöztepe#10 · 15 ptsWWWWD
1 - 2Full time
Başakşehir badgeBaşakşehir#8 · 17 ptsWLWDW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Juan 18'⚽ D. Selke 22'⚽ E. Visca 83'

Saturday, 7 November · 11:00 (Peru time) · Gursel Aksel Stadium · Referee: Cagdas Altay

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Göztepe to score

83%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+2🟨 Başakşehir
88'🔁 Sub: Allan Godoi · B. BokeGöztepe
86'🔁 Sub: E. Shomurodov · J. OpokuBaşakşehir
83'⚽ E. Visca assist O. BulutBaşakşehir
82'🔁 Sub: A. Antunes · F. AnjorinGöztepe
82'🔁 Sub: Juan · S. ArmstrongGöztepe
82'🔁 Sub: A. Kurtulan · A. MatosGöztepe
79'🟨 M. BokeleGöztepe
78'🔁 Sub: O. Sahiner · O. BulutBaşakşehir
78'🔁 Sub: J. Kaluzinski · O. ErgunBaşakşehir
66'🔁 Sub: Janderson · Andre HenriqueGöztepe
66'🔁 Sub: I. Brnic · E. ViscaBaşakşehir
66'🔁 Sub: D. Selke · B. YildirimBaşakşehir
49'🟨 A. AntunesGöztepe
40'🟨 O. BaBaşakşehir
22'⚽ D. Selke assist I. BrnicBaşakşehir
18'⚽ JuanGöztepe

Win probability minute by minute

GöztepeDrawBaşakşehir
At kick-off50%29%21%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

50%Göztepe to win@2.02
29%Draw@3.42
21%Başakşehir to win@4.70
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score60%
Göztepe or draw79%
Başakşehir or draw50%
Göztepe to score83%
Başakşehir to score69%

Most likely scores

1-113%2-19%1-08%2-08%0-07%

Expected goals per the model: Göztepe 1.81 · Başakşehir 1.16

How many goals will there be?

5%0 goals15%1 goals23%2 goals22%3 goals17%4 goals18%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.97.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.0 in total · Göztepe 4.2 · Başakşehir 4.8

52%Over 8.5@1.93
41%Over 9.5@2.41
32%Over 10.5@3.12
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.6 · el árbitro C. Altay saca 4.5 por partido

64%Over 3.5@1.56
48%Over 4.5@2.10
33%Over 5.5@3.04

⏱️ First half

41% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.23

71%Goal in the 1st half@1.41
35%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.88
82%Goal in the 2st half@1.21

⚽ Goals per team

54%Göztepe +1.5@1.85
32%Başakşehir +1.5@3.10
24%Göztepe to win to nil@4.18

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

3Shots on target4
14Shots14
11Fouls7
5Corners7
3Offsides1
49Possession %51
2Yellow cards1
3Saves2
0.90Expected goals (xG)0.99

Goals in the last 10 matches

Göztepe · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.5goals per match
2.5vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 0-1 0-1 en Galatasaray: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Gaziantep FK: 2-4 2-4 ambosen Alanyaspor: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Rizespor: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Eyüpspor: 4-0 4-0 en Kocaelispor: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Çorum FK: 2-0 2-0 en Fenerbahçe: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Başakşehir: 1-2 1-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Başakşehir · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.4goals per match
2.5en Trabzonspor: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Kasımpaşa: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Galatasaray: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Amed: 0-5 0-5 vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 4-0 4-0 en Konyaspor: 0-0 0-0 vs Gaziantep FK: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Beşiktaş: 0-2 0-2 vs Samsunspor: 5-2 5-2 ambosat Göztepe: 2-1 2-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

GöztepeBaşakşehir
2.1Goals scored per match1.5
1.7Goals conceded per match1.6
90%Matches with over 1.5 goals92%
80%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%
70%Both teams to score50%
20%Clean sheet25%
10%Matches without scoring33%
4.9Corners won per match5.1
2.6Yellow cards per match2.0

Göztepe: 10 matches · Başakşehir: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

Göztepe at home · Başakşehir away

Göztepe at home
1G1E2P
WDLLW
Başakşehir away
0G1E4P
LDLLL

When do they score and concede?

Göztepe · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
420-153116-301531-454246-604461-755376-90
Başakşehir · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded
410-153416-302131-452446-604361-753676-90

The first goal

Göztepe

Scores first in 7 of 10 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.

Başakşehir

Scores first in 5 of 11 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Göztepe

Andre Henrique · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Juan · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

A. Antunes · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Başakşehir

E. Shomurodov · 4 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

A. Skov Olsen · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

I. Brnic · 0 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

5Göztepe to win
2Draws
3Başakşehir to win

10 matches · 2.7 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-03-07Başakşehir 2-1 GöztepeSüper Lig
2025-10-05Göztepe 1-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
2025-04-28Göztepe 4-1 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
2024-11-30Başakşehir 4-1 GöztepeSüper Lig
2023-02-25Göztepe 0-0 BaşakşehirFriendlies Clubs
2022-12-20Başakşehir 3-1 GöztepeTürkiye Kupası

Standings

Süper Lig standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Galatasaray11+1228
2Trabzonspor11+1825
3Amed11+1323
4Beşiktaş11+1122
5Kasımpaşa11+620
6Fenerbahçe11+1919
7Kocaelispor11+419
8Başakşehir11+217
9Çorum FK11016
10Göztepe11+315
11Rizespor11-314
12Erzurumspor FK11-714
13Alanyaspor11-912
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.11-911
15Konyaspor11-88
16Gaziantep FK11-108
17Samsunspor11-157
18Eyüpspor11-273

More stats

Referee: C. Altay

12 matches · 4.3 yellows and 0.17 reds per match · 0.83 penalties

Half-time

Göztepe: 7 days since last match · Başakşehir: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC.

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