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Goias vs Ponte Preta prediction
Brazil · Serie B
Goias
Ponte PretaPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 17:15 (Peru time) · Estádio da Serrinha · Referee: Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes
Over 2.5 goals
69%- Head to head: 2.7 goals per match
- Picky expects 3.6 goals (3.1 - 0.6)
- Clemente is on fire: 2 goals in his last 5 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Goias 3.07 · Ponte Preta 0.56
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.63.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.7 in total · Goias 5.8 · Ponte Preta 4.9
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.5 · el árbitro Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes saca 5.2 por partido
⏱️ First half
47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.72
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Goias: 41 matches · Ponte Preta: 38 matches (all competitions with data).
Goias at home · Ponte Preta away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 23 of 40 matches and wins 16 of them.
Concedes first in 17 and avoids defeat in 4.
Scores first in 10 of 37 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 27 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
Felipe Clemente · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Gustavo Almeida · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
David da Hora · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Danilo Peu · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.7 goals per match
| 2026-07-18 | Ponte Preta 1-2 Goias | Serie B |
| 2024-08-17 | Ponte Preta 1-1 Goias | Serie B |
| 2024-04-28 | Goias 3-0 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| 2021-11-03 | Goias 2-2 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
| 2021-07-23 | Ponte Preta 2-1 Goias | Serie B |
| 2018-09-21 | Goias 2-2 Ponte Preta | Serie B |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 37 | +34 | 70 |
| 2 | Juventude | 37 | +23 | 68 |
| 3 | Vila Nova | 37 | +15 | 66 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 37 | +7 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 37 | +11 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 37 | +6 | 58 |
| 7 | Goias | 37 | -2 | 58 |
| 8 | Atlético Goianiense | 37 | +10 | 58 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 37 | +8 | 55 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 37 | +10 | 52 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 37 | +6 | 51 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 37 | +2 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 37 | 0 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 37 | -9 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 37 | -9 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 37 | -12 | 40 |
| 18 | Londrina | 37 | -13 | 32 |
| 19 | América Mineiro | 37 | -28 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 37 | -58 | 15 |
More stats
41 matches · 4.8 yellows and 0.43 reds per match · 0.14 penalties
Goias: 5 days since last match · Ponte Preta: 8 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-09 00:50 UTC.