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Glentoran vs Bangor prediction

Northern Ireland · Premiership
Glentoran badgeGlentoran#4 · 22 ptsDDWDW
14:45Fri Nov 13
Bangor badgeBangor#11 · 12 ptsWWLDL

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 14:45 (Peru time) · The BetMcLean Oval

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

79%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Glentoran and Bangor meet in the Premiership.

The PickMania model gives Glentoran a 71% chance of winning, 17% for the draw and 12% for Bangor.

3.0 total goals are expected (2.2 from Glentoran and 0.8 from Bangor): over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance and both teams to score 49%.

The most likely score is 2-0.

Probabilities

71%Glentoran to win@1.41
17%Draw@5.84
12%Bangor to win@8.29
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score49%
Glentoran or draw88%
Bangor or draw29%
Glentoran to score88%
Bangor to score53%

Most likely scores

2-013%1-011%2-19%3-09%1-18%

Expected goals per the model: Glentoran 2.23 · Bangor 0.77

How many goals will there be?

5%0 goals15%1 goals22%2 goals22%3 goals17%4 goals18%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.00.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.20

70%Goal in the 1st half@1.43
34%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.97
83%Goal in the 2st half@1.20

⚽ Goals per team

65%Glentoran +1.5@1.53
18%Bangor +1.5@5.54
42%Glentoran to win to nil@2.41

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Glentoran · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score1.8goals per match
2.5en Larne: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Bangor: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Coleraine FC: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Cliftonville FC: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Carrick Rangers: 2-0 2-0 vs Dungannon Swifts: 2-0 2-0 en Portadown: 0-0 0-0 vs Limavady United: 1-0 1-0 en Coleraine FC: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Carrick Rangers: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Bangor · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5at Glentoran: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Limavady United: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Portadown: 3-1 3-1 ambosen Crusaders FC: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Coleraine FC: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Linfield: 0-2 0-2 vs Dungannon Swifts: 0-0 0-0 vs Larne: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Ballymena United: 1-0 1-0 vs Crusaders FC: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

GlentoranBangor
1.1Goals scored per match0.9
0.9Goals conceded per match1.7
81%Matches with over 1.5 goals73%
38%Matches with over 2.5 goals53%
50%Both teams to score47%
44%Clean sheet20%
19%Matches without scoring40%

Glentoran: 16 matches · Bangor: 15 matches (all competitions with data).

Glentoran at home · Bangor away

Glentoran at home
4G1E3P
WWWLD
Bangor away
1G1E5P
WLLLD

When do they score and concede?

Glentoran · goals by minute in 16 matches scored conceded
210-151216-302431-452146-602461-759376-90
Bangor · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
250-152416-301331-454246-602661-752676-90

The first goal

Glentoran

Scores first in 7 of 14 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Bangor

Scores first in 6 of 14 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Glentoran

J. Stewart · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

J. Singleton · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

D. Larmour · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Bangor

B. Arthurs · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

I. Hughes · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

3Glentoran to win
2Draws
1Bangor to win

6 matches · 3.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-09-12Glentoran 1-1 BangorPremiership
2026-03-10Bangor 0-4 GlentoranPremiership
2025-11-28Bangor 1-1 GlentoranPremiership
2025-08-16Glentoran 1-0 BangorPremiership
2025-02-28Bangor 3-1 GlentoranIrish Cup
2023-07-08Glentoran 4-1 BangorFriendlies Clubs

Standings

Premiership standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Linfield15+1336
2Coleraine FC15+1635
3Larne13+1026
4Glentoran14+622
5Cliftonville FC15+821
6Carrick Rangers15-419
7Dungannon Swifts14-418
8Crusaders FC15-1018
9Ballymena United13+116
10Limavady United15-1014
11Bangor15-1312
12Portadown15-139

More stats

Half-time

Glentoran: 6 days since last match · Bangor: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.

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