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Gimnasia L.P. vs Belgrano Córdoba prediction

Argentina · Liga Profesional

Gimnasia L.P.#6 · 26 ptsWWWDD

2 - 1Full time

Belgrano Córdoba#5 · 26 ptsDLLWW

43%33%23%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Lucas Janson 6'⚽ Agustin Auzmendi 27'⚽ Alcides Benitez 45'

Thursday, November 5 · 17:15 (Peru time) · Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo · Referee: Luis Lobo Medina

🎯 Model pick

Gimnasia L.P. or draw

77%

Full data

Gimnasia L.P. unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 (W W W D D)
At home, Gimnasia L.P. are 8W 3D 4L this season
Head to head: 3W 1D 3L for Gimnasia L.P.

⚡ Summary

43%Gimnasia L.P. to win@2.30 38%Over 2.5 goals@2.64 46%Both teams to score@2.20 47%Corners +9.5 (9.6)@2.1254%Cards +4.5 (5.1)@1.841-1Most likely score · 15%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+5🟨 Facundo Di BiasiGimnasia L.P.

84'🟨 Adrian SpörleBelgrano Córdoba

83'🔁 Sub: Alcides Benitez · Agustín FalcónBelgrano Córdoba

83'🔁 Sub: Emiliano Rigoni · Ramiro HernandesBelgrano Córdoba

82'🔁 Sub: Mateo Seoane · Augusto MaxGimnasia L.P.

80'🟨 Ignacio MiramonGimnasia L.P.

75'🔁 Sub: Federico Ricca · Adrian SpörleBelgrano Córdoba

75'🔁 Sub: Marcelo Torres · Manuel PanaroGimnasia L.P.

75'🔁 Sub: Nicolás Barros Schelotto · Renzo GiampaoliGimnasia L.P.

72'🟨 Leonardo MoralesBelgrano Córdoba

67'🟨 Nicolás FernándezBelgrano Córdoba

65'🔁 Sub: Lucas Janson · Facundo Di BiasiGimnasia L.P.

63'🔁 Sub: Santiago Longo · Nicolás FernándezBelgrano Córdoba

48'🟨 Nicolás Barros SchelottoGimnasia L.P.

45'+1⚽ Alcides BenitezBelgrano Córdoba

27'⚽ Agustin Auzmendi assist Matías MellusoGimnasia L.P.

27'📺 Matías MellusoGimnasia L.P.

6'🟨 Alcides BenitezBelgrano Córdoba

6'⚽ Lucas JansonGimnasia L.P.

Win probability minute by minute

Gimnasia L.P.DrawBelgrano Córdoba

At kick-off43%33%23%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

43%Gimnasia L.P. to win@2.30

33%Draw@3.01

23%Belgrano Córdoba to win@4.29

Over 1.5 goals66%

Over 2.5 goals38%

Over 3.5 goals19%

Both teams to score46%

Gimnasia L.P. or draw77%

Belgrano Córdoba or draw57%

Gimnasia L.P. to score73%

Belgrano Córdoba to score59%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-013%1-013%2-09%0-18%

Expected goals per the model: Gimnasia L.P. 1.32 · Belgrano Córdoba 0.91

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.23.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.6 in total · Gimnasia L.P. 4.4 · Belgrano Córdoba 5.2

57%Over 8.5@1.74

47%Over 9.5@2.12

37%Over 10.5@2.68

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.1

70%Over 3.5@1.43

54%Over 4.5@1.84

39%Over 5.5@2.55

⏱️ First half

37% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.82

56%Goal in the 1st half@1.79

20%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@5.03

76%Goal in the 2st half@1.32

⚽ Goals per team

38%Gimnasia L.P. +1.5@2.63

23%Belgrano Córdoba +1.5@4.33

27%Gimnasia L.P. to win to nil@3.69

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.41Expected goals (xG)1.58

4Shots on target6

5Saves2

2Offsides2

12Shots20

3Yellow cards4

2Corners7

10Fouls18

0Red cards0

36Possession %64

Goals in the last 10 matches

Gimnasia L.P. · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals9/10both teams to score2.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Belgrano Córdoba · last 10 matches

4/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.1goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Gimnasia L.P.Belgrano Córdoba

1.3Goals scored per match1.1

1.2Goals conceded per match0.8

79%Matches with over 1.5 goals60%

52%Matches with over 2.5 goals34%

55%Both teams to score40%

27%Clean sheet46%

21%Matches without scoring29%

3.8Corners won per match4.4

2.5Yellow cards per match2.1

Gimnasia L.P.: 33 matches · Belgrano Córdoba: 35 matches (all competitions with data).

Gimnasia L.P. at home · Belgrano Córdoba away

Gimnasia L.P. at home

8G3E4P

WDDWL

Belgrano Córdoba away

8G7E3P

LWWDD

When do they score and concede?

Gimnasia L.P. · goals by minute in 19 matches scored conceded

Belgrano Córdoba · goals by minute in 21 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Gimnasia L.P.

Scores first in 13 of 19 matches and wins 11 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 2.

Belgrano Córdoba

Scores first in 10 of 19 matches and wins 8 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 4.

Players in form

Gimnasia L.P.

Ignacio Fernández · 3 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Marcelo Torres · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

A. Colazo · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

Belgrano Córdoba

Lucas Passerini · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Lucas Zelarayán · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

F. Vazquez · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

3Gimnasia L.P. to win

1Draws

3Belgrano Córdoba to win

7 matches · 1.6 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-04-26	Belgrano Córdoba 0-1 Gimnasia L.P.	Liga Profesional Argentina
2024-08-26	Belgrano Córdoba 0-1 Gimnasia L.P.	Liga Profesional Argentina
2023-04-16	Gimnasia L.P. 0-2 Belgrano Córdoba	Liga Profesional Argentina
2018-11-02	Belgrano Córdoba 2-0 Gimnasia L.P.	Liga Profesional Argentina
2017-11-25	Belgrano Córdoba 2-0 Gimnasia L.P.	Liga Profesional Argentina
2016-12-10	Gimnasia L.P. 1-1 Belgrano Córdoba	Liga Profesional Argentina

Standings

Liga Profesional standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Independ. Rivadavia	16	+14	34
2	River Plate	16	+10	29
3	Argentinos JRS	16	+4	29
4	Rosario Central	16	+4	28
5	Belgrano Córdoba	16	+4	26
6	Gimnasia L.P.	16	0	26
7	Huracan	16	+4	22
8	Racing Club	16	+2	21
9	Barracas Central	16	0	21
10	Tigre	16	+3	20
11	Sarmiento Junín	16	-7	19
12	Banfield	16	-2	18
13	Atlético Tucumán	16	-5	14
14	Aldosivi	16	-13	8
15	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	16	-19	5

More stats

Half-time

Gimnasia L.P.: 6 days since last match · Belgrano Córdoba: 4 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 00:50 UTC.