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Germany U21 vs Belgium U21 prediction

International · International friendlies

Germany U21W

12:00Fri Nov 13

Belgium U21L

44%27%28%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 12:00 (Peru time) · Stadion an der Hafenstrasse

🎯 Model pick

Germany U21 to score

78%

Partial data

Belgium U21 concede 2.0 goals per match
Belgium U21 kept a clean sheet in only 0 of 1

⚡ Summary

44%Germany U21 to win@2.26 52%Over 2.5 goals@1.92 56%Both teams to score@1.79 1-1Most likely score · 12%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

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Germany U21 and Belgium U21 meet in the International friendlies.

The PickMania model gives Germany U21 a 44% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 28% for Belgium U21.

2.8 total goals are expected (1.6 from Germany U21 and 1.2 from Belgium U21): over 2.5 goals has a 52% chance and both teams to score 56%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

44%Germany U21 to win@2.26

27%Draw@3.67

28%Belgium U21 to win@3.52

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals32%

Both teams to score56%

Germany U21 or draw72%

Belgium U21 or draw56%

Germany U21 to score78%

Belgium U21 to score70%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-09%2-19%0-08%2-07%

Expected goals per the model: Germany U21 1.59 · Belgium U21 1.23

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.82.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

47%Alemania sub-21 +1.5@2.12

35%Bélgica sub-21 +1.5@2.87

22%Germany U21 to win to nil@4.51

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Season comparison

Germany U21Belgium U21

0.0Goals scored per match1.0

0.0Goals conceded per match2.0

0%Matches with over 1.5 goals100%

0%Matches with over 2.5 goals100%

0%Both teams to score100%

0%Clean sheet0%

0%Matches without scoring0%

Germany U21: 0 matches · Belgium U21: 1 matches (all competitions with data).

Germany U21 at home · Belgium U21 away

Germany U21 at home

0G0E0P

Belgium U21 away

0G0E1P

When do they score and concede?

Belgium U21 · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Belgium U21

Scores first in 0 of 1 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Germany U21

Sin datos

Belgium U21

N. Bassette · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

R. Vermant · 0 goles, 1 assists in 1 matches

Head to head

0Germany U21 to win

0Draws

2Belgium U21 to win

2 matches · 5.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2020-09-08	Belgium U21 4-1 Germany U21	UEFA U21 Championship
2019-11-17	Germany U21 2-3 Belgium U21	UEFA U21 Championship

More stats

Half-time

Germany U21: – days since last match · Belgium U21: 228 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.