Home › Belgium · Jupiler Pro League › Gent vs Kortrijk
Gent vs Kortrijk prediction
Pre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 10:00 (Peru time) · Planet Group Arena · Referee: Jan Boterberg

Over 1.5 goals
79%- 2+ goals in 12 of 19 Gent matches
- Also in 8 of 10 Kortrijk matches
- Head to head: 2.8 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Gent 2.11 · Kortrijk 0.83
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.94.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.1 in total · Gent 5.5 · Kortrijk 3.6
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.3 · el árbitro J. Boterberg saca 4.2 por partido
⏱️ First half
41% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.22
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Gent: 19 matches · Kortrijk: 10 matches (all competitions with data).
Gent at home · Kortrijk away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 12 of 15 matches and wins 10 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 3 of 10 matches and wins 1 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 0.
Players in form
T. Araujo · 0 goles, 4 assists in 5 matches
A. Kadri · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
I. Cisse · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
J. Roche · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
T. Ambrose · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
G. Koyalipou · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.8 goals per match
| 2025-03-16 | Gent 1-2 Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2024-07-28 | Kortrijk 0-1 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2023-12-26 | Kortrijk 0-2 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2023-07-30 | Gent 3-2 Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2023-01-15 | Gent 2-1 Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League |
| 2022-11-13 | Kortrijk 0-4 Gent | Jupiler Pro League |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unión St. Gilloise | 11 | +23 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | +18 | 28 |
| 3 | Gent | 11 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 11 | +13 | 27 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 11 | +2 | 20 |
| 6 | Lommel United | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Standard Liege | 11 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 11 | -4 | 14 |
| 10 | OH Leuven | 11 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 | St. Truiden | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 11 | -6 | 11 |
| 14 | Zulte Waregem | 11 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | SK Beveren | 11 | -10 | 10 |
| 16 | Cercle Brugge | 11 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | RAAL La Louvière | 11 | -11 | 7 |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 11 | -19 | 4 |
More stats
20 matches · 3.9 yellows and 0.36 reds per match · 0.14 penalties
Gent: 2 days since last match · Kortrijk: 3 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 17:30 UTC.
Gent
Kortrijk