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Gaziantep FK vs Kasımpaşa prediction

Türkiye · Süper Lig
Gaziantep FK badgeGaziantep FK#16 · 8 ptsLLLLL
0 - 2Full time
Kasımpaşa badgeKasımpaşa#5 · 20 ptsDWWLD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ H. Hajradinovic 3'⚽ A. Benedyczak 21' (p)

Friday, November 6 · 12:00 (Peru time) · Gaziantep Stadyumu · Referee: Umit Ozturk

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Kasımpaşa to score

77%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

85'🔁 Sub: A. Benedyczak · G. YalcinKasımpaşa
85'🔁 Sub: H. Hajradinovic · J. JessenKasımpaşa
82'🟨 A. KarapoKasımpaşa
75'🔁 Sub: E. Mendes · E. BozKasımpaşa
72'🔁 Sub: J. Bacuna · H. DervisogluGaziantep FK
63'🔁 Sub: L. Perez · S. DesticiGaziantep FK
63'🔁 Sub: J. Rak-Sakyi · T. DiarraKasımpaşa
63'🔁 Sub: A. Kol · M. RaffertyKasımpaşa
46'🔁 Sub: A. Maxim · O. OzcicekGaziantep FK
46'🔁 Sub: D. Sorescu · V. GidadoGaziantep FK
46'🔁 Sub: T. Stewart · S. DursunGaziantep FK
36'🟨 E. MendesKasımpaşa
30'🟨 D. SorescuGaziantep FK
21'⚽ A. Benedyczak (pen.)Kasımpaşa
3'⚽ H. Hajradinovic assist J. Rak-SakyiKasımpaşa

Win probability minute by minute

Gaziantep FKDrawKasımpaşa
At kick-off29%32%40%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

29%Gaziantep FK to win@3.51
32%Draw@3.15
40%Kasımpaşa to win@2.51
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score58%
Gaziantep FK or draw60%
Kasımpaşa or draw71%
Gaziantep FK to score71%
Kasımpaşa to score77%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-09%0-18%1-28%2-17%

Expected goals per the model: Gaziantep FK 1.25 · Kasımpaşa 1.50

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals18%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals15%4 goals14%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.75.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.4 in total · Gaziantep FK 5.3 · Kasımpaşa 4.0

56%Over 8.5@1.80
45%Over 9.5@2.21
36%Over 10.5@2.81
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.8

66%Over 3.5@1.50
50%Over 4.5@1.99
35%Over 5.5@2.84

⏱️ First half

40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.11

67%Goal in the 1st half@1.49
30%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.28
81%Goal in the 2st half@1.24

⚽ Goals per team

36%Gaziantep FK +1.5@2.81
44%Kasımpaşa +1.5@2.26
14%Gaziantep FK to win to nil@7.25

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

4Shots on target4
14Shots10
9Fouls15
7Corners2
61Possession %39
1Yellow cards2
2Saves4
0.76Expected goals (xG)1.81

Goals in the last 10 matches

Gaziantep FK · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.6goals per match
2.5en Eyüpspor: 1-0 1-0 vs Rizespor: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Göztepe: 4-2 4-2 ambosvs Fenerbahçe: 0-0 0-0 en Kocaelispor: 0-2 0-2 vs Çorum FK: 0-3 0-3 en Başakşehir: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Erzurumspor FK: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Trabzonspor: 0-2 0-2 vs Kasımpaşa: 0-2 0-2

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Kasımpaşa · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.6goals per match
2.5en Çorum FK: 1-0 1-0 en Başakşehir: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Amed: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Konyaspor: 0-0 0-0 en Galatasaray: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Samsunspor: 4-1 4-1 ambosen Eyüpspor: 1-0 1-0 vs Beşiktaş: 2-2 2-2 ambosat Gaziantep FK: 2-0 2-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Gaziantep FKKasımpaşa
0.9Goals scored per match1.5
1.7Goals conceded per match1.1
80%Matches with over 1.5 goals70%
50%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%
50%Both teams to score70%
20%Clean sheet30%
40%Matches without scoring10%
4.2Corners won per match4.3
2.2Yellow cards per match2.5

Gaziantep FK: 10 matches · Kasımpaşa: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

Gaziantep FK at home · Kasımpaşa away

Gaziantep FK at home
0G2E3P
LLDLD
Kasımpaşa away
3G1E1P
WLWDW

When do they score and concede?

Gaziantep FK · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
220-150116-302331-451446-603261-751576-90
Kasımpaşa · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
100-152316-302331-453246-602061-755376-90

The first goal

Gaziantep FK

Scores first in 2 of 9 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 1.

Kasımpaşa

Scores first in 4 of 9 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 4.

Players in form

Gaziantep FK

S. Dursun · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

K. Kozlowski · 0 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Kasımpaşa

A. Benedyczak · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

A. Arous · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

C. Winck · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

3Gaziantep FK to win
2Draws
5Kasımpaşa to win

10 matches · 3.7 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-02-09Gaziantep FK 2-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
2025-08-30Kasımpaşa 2-3 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
2025-05-24Gaziantep FK 2-2 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
2025-01-05Kasımpaşa 2-2 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig
2024-04-21Gaziantep FK 2-0 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
2023-12-03Kasımpaşa 4-2 Gaziantep FKSüper Lig

Standings

Süper Lig standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Galatasaray11+1228
2Trabzonspor11+1825
3Amed11+1323
4Beşiktaş11+1122
5Kasımpaşa11+620
6Fenerbahçe11+1919
7Kocaelispor11+419
8Başakşehir11+217
9Çorum FK11016
10Göztepe11+315
11Rizespor11-314
12Erzurumspor FK11-714
13Alanyaspor11-912
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.11-911
15Konyaspor11-88
16Gaziantep FK11-108
17Samsunspor11-157
18Eyüpspor11-273

More stats

Half-time

Gaziantep FK: 5 days since last match · Kasımpaşa: 5 days

Gaziantep FK absences

F. Bavuk, N. Sangare, S. Dursun, S. Hansen, A. Kizildag, U. Meleke, O. Ozcicek, K. Tobiasz

Kasımpaşa absences

K. Corekci, G. Frimpong, F. Diabate, A. Karapo, K. Mouanga, M. Ouanes

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 19:30 UTC.

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