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GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Flint Town United prediction
Wales · Premier League
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Flint Town UnitedPre-match probabilities
Friday, November 6 · 15:00 (Peru time) · Essity Stadium · Referee: R. Jenkins
Over 1.5 goals
81%- 2+ goals in 13 of 17 GAP Connah S Quay FC matches
- Also in 11 of 15 Flint Town United matches
- Head to head: 3.2 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.18 · Flint Town United 0.88
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.06.
Corners, cards and first half
⏱️ First half
42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.29
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
GAP Connah S Quay FC: 17 matches · Flint Town United: 15 matches (all competitions with data).
GAP Connah S Quay FC at home · Flint Town United away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 12 of 15 matches and wins 10 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 5 of 15 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
H. Franklin · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
J. Hodkin · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
C. West · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
T. Owolabi · 5 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
I. Modi · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
L. Mendes · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 3.2 goals per match
| 2026-08-31 | Flint Town United 1-2 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| 2025-12-26 | Flint Town United 0-2 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| 2025-08-25 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 3-2 Flint Town United | Premier League |
| 2025-03-11 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 4-0 Flint Town United | Premier League |
| 2025-01-25 | Flint Town United 2-1 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| 2024-12-26 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 7-2 Flint Town United | Premier League |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints | 16 | +48 | 44 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 16 | +25 | 38 |
| 3 | Penybont | 15 | +21 | 36 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay | 16 | +10 | 32 |
| 5 | Airbus UK | 16 | +10 | 30 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 16 | +21 | 29 |
| 7 | Barry Town | 16 | +6 | 29 |
| 8 | Cardiff MET | 16 | +6 | 25 |
| 9 | Cambrian & Clydach | 16 | -15 | 19 |
| 10 | Llandudno | 16 | -7 | 16 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 16 | -11 | 16 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 16 | -11 | 15 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 16 | -8 | 14 |
| 14 | Ammanford AFC | 16 | -30 | 12 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 16 | -29 | 6 |
| 16 | Holywell | 15 | -36 | 2 |
More stats
12 matches · – yellows and – reds per match · 0.33 penalties
GAP Connah S Quay FC: 6 days since last match · Flint Town United: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 22:30 UTC.