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Galatasaray vs Amed prediction

Türkiye · Süper Lig
Galatasaray badgeGalatasaray#1 · 28 ptsWWWWW
4 - 3Full time
Amed badgeAmed#3 · 23 ptsWWWDW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ R. Leao 7'⚽ A. Lafont 45' (p.p.)⚽ A. Batrakov 59'⚽ D. Saba 62'⚽ G. Orban 65'⚽ B. Yilmaz 80'⚽ Y. Sor 90'

Saturday, November 7 · 11:00 (Peru time) · Rams Park Stadyumu · Referee: Halil Umut Meler

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 2.5 goals

66%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+2⚽ Y. SorAmed
90'+2🔁 Sub: R. Raveloson · C. UstundagAmed
84'🔁 Sub: A. Batrakov · R. NhagaGalatasaray
83'🔁 Sub: E. Elmali · W. SingoGalatasaray
80'⚽ B. Yilmaz assist Gabriel SaraGalatasaray
77'🔁 Sub: F. Soyalp · R. LutinAmed
74'🟨 D. BatesAmed
69'🔁 Sub: Y. Akgun · L. SaneGalatasaray
69'🔁 Sub: L. Torreira · Gabriel SaraGalatasaray
65'⚽ G. Orban assist F. SoyalpAmed
64'🔁 Sub: L. Dellova · M. YesilAmed
62'⚽ D. SabaAmed
61'🟨 G. OrbanAmed
59'⚽ A. Batrakov assist R. SallaiGalatasaray
50'🟨 R. RavelosonAmed
50'🔁 Sub: R. Leao · D. GulGalatasaray
46'🔁 Sub: M. Diagne · Y. SorAmed
46'🔁 Sub: G. Gul · A. T. BulbulAmed
45'⚽ A. Lafont (own goal)Galatasaray
7'⚽ R. Leao assist L. TorreiraGalatasaray

Win probability minute by minute

GalatasarayDrawAmed
At kick-off64%22%13%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

64%Galatasaray to win@1.55
22%Draw@4.48
13%Amed to win@7.52
Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams to score60%
Galatasaray or draw87%
Amed or draw36%
Galatasaray to score91%
Amed to score66%

Most likely scores

1-110%2-19%2-08%3-17%1-07%

Expected goals per the model: Galatasaray 2.43 · Amed 1.10

How many goals will there be?

3%0 goals10%1 goals18%2 goals21%3 goals19%4 goals28%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.53.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.5 in total · Galatasaray 5.3 · Amed 4.2

56%Over 8.5@1.78
46%Over 9.5@2.18
36%Over 10.5@2.76
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.3 · el árbitro H. U. Meler saca 5.2 por partido

73%Over 3.5@1.37
58%Over 4.5@1.74
42%Over 5.5@2.36

⏱️ First half

40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.40

75%Goal in the 1st half@1.33
41%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.44
88%Goal in the 2st half@1.14

⚽ Goals per team

70%Galatasaray +1.5@1.43
30%Amed +1.5@3.32
29%Galatasaray to win to nil@3.46

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

6Shots on target4
16Shots12
8Fouls11
3Corners6
3Offsides7
56Possession %44
0Yellow cards3
2Saves3
1.35Expected goals (xG)0.94

Goals in the last 10 matches

Galatasaray · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score3.7goals per match
2.5vs Kocaelispor: 1-0 1-0 en Trabzonspor: 0-4 0-4 vs Kasımpaşa: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Barcelona: 1-4 1-4 ambosen Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 1-0 1-0 en Lille: 4-2 4-2 ambosvs Fenerbahçe: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Konyaspor: 4-0 4-0 vs VfB Stuttgart: 2-0 2-0 vs Amed: 4-3 4-3 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Amed · last 10 matches
8/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score4.0goals per match
2.5en Kocaelispor: 0-2 0-2 vs Trabzonspor: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Kasımpaşa: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Başakşehir: 5-0 5-0 vs Beşiktaş: 3-2 3-2 ambosen Gençlerbirliği S.K.: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Konyaspor: 1-0 1-0 en Samsunspor: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Eyüpspor: 5-1 5-1 ambosat Galatasaray: 3-4 3-4 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

GalatasarayAmed
2.2Goals scored per match2.5
1.5Goals conceded per match1.1
86%Matches with over 1.5 goals90%
79%Matches with over 2.5 goals80%
57%Both teams to score60%
36%Clean sheet30%
7%Matches without scoring10%
6.6Corners won per match5.1
1.9Yellow cards per match3.0

Galatasaray: 14 matches · Amed: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

Galatasaray at home · Amed away

Galatasaray at home
5G1E1P
WWLWW
Amed away
1G2E1P
WDDL

When do they score and concede?

Galatasaray · goals by minute in 14 matches scored conceded
620-155216-305431-455446-604761-756276-90
Amed · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
210-152316-304031-456346-605161-756376-90

The first goal

Galatasaray

Scores first in 12 of 14 matches and wins 9 of them.

Concedes first in 2 and avoids defeat in 1.

Amed

Scores first in 6 of 10 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Galatasaray

Aleksey Batrakov · 4 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

V. Osimhen · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Y. Akgun · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Amed

G. Orban · 3 goles, 3 assists in 5 matches

S. Ballet · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

D. Saba · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

1Galatasaray to win
0Draws
1Amed to win

2 matches · 3.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2015-01-22Galatasaray 0-2 AmedTürkiye Kupası
2014-12-23Amed 1-4 GalatasarayTürkiye Kupası

Standings

Süper Lig standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Galatasaray11+1228
2Trabzonspor11+1825
3Amed11+1323
4Beşiktaş11+1122
5Kasımpaşa11+620
6Fenerbahçe11+1919
7Kocaelispor11+419
8Başakşehir11+217
9Çorum FK11016
10Göztepe11+315
11Rizespor11-314
12Erzurumspor FK11-714
13Alanyaspor11-912
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.11-911
15Konyaspor11-88
16Gaziantep FK11-108
17Samsunspor11-157
18Eyüpspor11-273

More stats

Referee: H. U. Meler

22 matches · 5.0 yellows and 0.18 reds per match · 0.09 penalties

Half-time

Galatasaray: 3 days since last match · Amed: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC.

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