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Fulham vs Newcastle prediction
England · Premier League
Fulham
NewcastlePre-match probabilities
Saturday, 7 November · 10:00 (Peru time) · Craven Cottage · Referee: Robert Jones
Fulham to score
82%- Fulham scored in 7 of 9 matches this season
- Newcastle concede 1.7 goals per match
- Newcastle kept a clean sheet in only 2 of 9
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Fulham 1.72 · Newcastle 1.14
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.86.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.3 in total · Fulham 5.8 · Newcastle 4.5
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.9 · el árbitro Robert Jones saca 2.9 por partido
⏱️ First half
40% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.15
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Fulham: 9 matches · Newcastle: 9 matches (all competitions with data).
Fulham at home · Newcastle away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 5 of 8 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 4 of 9 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Ryan Sessegnon · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
Oscar Bobb · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
A. Iwobi · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Harvey Barnes · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
S. Botman · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
William Osula · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.7 goals per match
| 2026-05-24 | Fulham 2-0 Newcastle | Premier League |
| 2025-12-17 | Newcastle 2-1 Fulham | League Cup |
| 2025-10-25 | Newcastle 2-1 Fulham | Premier League |
| 2025-02-01 | Newcastle 1-2 Fulham | Premier League |
| 2024-09-21 | Fulham 3-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
| 2024-04-06 | Fulham 0-1 Newcastle | Premier League |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | -14 | 7 |
More stats
8 matches · 2.9 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.14 penalties
Fulham: 6 days since last match · Newcastle: 4 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:30 UTC.