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Fredrikstad vs Brann prediction

Norway · Eliteserien

Fredrikstad#12 · 30 ptsLLLDD

2 - 2Full time

Brann#7 · 33 ptsDWLWL

28%29%44%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Gabriel Wesseh 52'⚽ Max Nilsson 60'⚽ Kristall Mani Ingason 82'⚽ Bård Finne 90'

Sunday, 8 November · 13:15 (Peru time) · Fredrikstad Stadion · Referee: Jorgen Haugen

🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

85%

Full data

2+ goals in 21 of 25 Fredrikstad matches
Also in 31 of 34 Brann matches
Head to head: 3.4 goals per match

⚡ Summary

44%Brann to win@2.29 64%Over 2.5 goals@1.57 68%Both teams to score@1.46 61%Corners +9.5 (10.9)@1.6530%Cards +4.5 (3.6)@3.301-1Most likely score · 12%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+6⚽ Bård FinneBrann

87'🔁 Sub: Isak Helstad Amundsen · Simen RafnFredrikstad

86'🟨 Fanuel GhebreyohannesFredrikstad

82'⚽ Kristall Mani Ingason assist Joachim SoltvedtBrann

79'🔁 Sub: Gabriel Wesseh · Benjamin Thoresen FaraasFredrikstad

76'🔁 Sub: Noah Jean Holm · Bård FinneBrann

75'🔁 Sub: Johannes Andres Hummelvoll-Nunez · Salim LaghzaouiFredrikstad

75'🔁 Sub: Solomon Owusu · Ulrik Tillung FredriksenFredrikstad

75'🔁 Sub: Saevar Atli Magnusson · Julian LaegreidBrann

70'🟨 Kristian EriksenBrann

66'🟨 Noah Jean HolmBrann

60'⚽ Max NilssonFredrikstad

59'🔁 Sub: Neraysho Kasanwirjo · Vetle Winger DragsnesBrann

59'🔁 Sub: Niklas Castro · Ulrik MathisenBrann

57'🟨 Niklas CastroBrann

52'⚽ Gabriel Wesseh assist Henrik Langaas SkogvoldFredrikstad

35'🟨 Fredrik KnudsenBrann

28'📺 Max NilssonFredrikstad

3'🟨 Isak Helstad AmundsenFredrikstad

Win probability minute by minute

FredrikstadDrawBrann

At kick-off28%29%44%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

28%Fredrikstad to win@3.58

29%Draw@3.51

44%Brann to win@2.29

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals64%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score68%

Fredrikstad or draw56%

Brann or draw72%

Fredrikstad to score77%

Brann to score84%

Most likely scores

1-112%1-28%2-28%2-16%0-26%

Expected goals per the model: Fredrikstad 1.50 · Brann 1.88

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.38.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.9 in total · Fredrikstad 4.6 · Brann 6.3

70%Over 8.5@1.43

61%Over 9.5@1.65

51%Over 10.5@1.97

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.6 · el árbitro Jorgen Haugen saca 3.7 por partido

47%Over 3.5@2.15

30%Over 4.5@3.30

18%Over 5.5@5.49

⏱️ First half

47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.59

80%Goal in the 1st half@1.26

47%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.12

83%Goal in the 2st half@1.20

⚽ Goals per team

44%Fredrikstad +1.5@2.26

56%Brann +1.5@1.78

10%Fredrikstad to win to nil@9.74

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.22Expected goals (xG)0.48

7Shots on target6

5Saves5

2Offsides3

20Shots10

2Yellow cards4

4Corners10

10Fouls8

0Red cards0

46Possession %54

Goals in the last 10 matches

Fredrikstad · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals8/10both teams to score3.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Brann · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals8/10both teams to score3.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

FredrikstadBrann

1.2Goals scored per match1.9

1.8Goals conceded per match1.6

84%Matches with over 1.5 goals91%

56%Matches with over 2.5 goals76%

64%Both teams to score79%

12%Clean sheet9%

24%Matches without scoring15%

4.4Corners won per match6.9

1.6Yellow cards per match1.8

Fredrikstad: 25 matches · Brann: 34 matches (all competitions with data).

Fredrikstad at home · Brann away

Fredrikstad at home

5G3E4P

LDDLW

Brann away

5G5E7P

DLWLL

When do they score and concede?

Fredrikstad · goals by minute in 25 matches scored conceded

Brann · goals by minute in 34 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Fredrikstad

Scores first in 10 of 25 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 15 and avoids defeat in 5.

Brann

Scores first in 15 of 33 matches and wins 12 of them.

Concedes first in 18 and avoids defeat in 5.

Players in form

Fredrikstad

Bryan Fiabema · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Gabriel Wesseh · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

S. Leach · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Brann

Noah Jean Holm · 5 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Kristian Eriksen · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

K. M. Ingason · 1 gol, 2 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

2Fredrikstad to win

0Draws

6Brann to win

8 matches · 3.4 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-02	Brann 3-1 Fredrikstad	Eliteserien
2025-09-28	Brann 1-0 Fredrikstad	Eliteserien
2025-03-29	Fredrikstad 3-0 Brann	Eliteserien
2024-08-18	Fredrikstad 0-4 Brann	Eliteserien
2024-04-07	Brann 0-2 Fredrikstad	Eliteserien
2022-10-22	Fredrikstad 1-3 Brann	1. Division

Standings

Eliteserien standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Viking	26	+42	62
2	Bodo/Glimt	26	+40	62
3	Rosenborg	26	+21	46
4	Lillestrom	26	+4	45
5	Molde	26	+20	44
6	Tromso	26	+3	40
7	Brann	26	+3	33
8	Valerenga	26	-4	32
9	Sarpsborg 08 FF	26	-10	31
10	KFUM Oslo	26	-13	31
11	Ham-Kam	26	-15	30
12	Fredrikstad	26	-15	30
13	Sandefjord	26	-8	28
14	Kristiansund BK	26	-21	26
15	Aalesund	26	-15	24
16	Start	26	-32	19

More stats

Referee: Jorgen Haugen

9 matches · 3.4 yellows and 0.22 reds per match · 0.33 penalties

Half-time

Fredrikstad: 8 days since last match · Brann: 2 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC.