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France U21 vs Italy U21 prediction

International · International friendlies

France U21LWDDL

12:30Fri Nov 13

Italy U21W

37%30%33%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 12:30 (Peru time) · Stade Francis Le Basser

🎯 Model pick

France U21 to score

71%

Partial data

France U21 scored in 3 of 3 matches this season

⚡ Summary

37%France U21 to win@2.72 44%Over 2.5 goals@2.27 50%Both teams to score@1.99 1-1Most likely score · 13%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

France U21 and Italy U21 meet in the International friendlies.

The PickMania model gives France U21 a 37% chance of winning, 30% for the draw and 33% for Italy U21.

2.5 total goals are expected (1.3 from France U21 and 1.2 from Italy U21): over 2.5 goals has a 44% chance and both teams to score 50%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

37%France U21 to win@2.72

30%Draw@3.34

33%Italy U21 to win@3.01

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams to score50%

France U21 or draw67%

Italy U21 or draw63%

France U21 to score71%

Italy U21 to score69%

Most likely scores

1-113%0-011%1-010%0-19%2-18%

Expected goals per the model: France U21 1.28 · Italy U21 1.20

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.48.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

25% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.62

46%Goal in the 1st half@2.16

13%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@7.78

84%Goal in the 2st half@1.18

⚽ Goals per team

37%Francia sub-21 +1.5@2.73

34%Italia sub-21 +1.5@2.96

20%France U21 to win to nil@4.88

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

France U21 · last 3 matches

1/3+2.5 goals2/3both teams to score2.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

France U21Italy U21

1.0Goals scored per match1.0

1.3Goals conceded per match0.0

67%Matches with over 1.5 goals0%

33%Matches with over 2.5 goals0%

67%Both teams to score0%

33%Clean sheet100%

0%Matches without scoring0%

France U21: 3 matches · Italy U21: 1 matches (all competitions with data).

France U21 at home · Italy U21 away

France U21 at home

1G1E1P

LWD

Italy U21 away

0G0E0P

When do they score and concede?

France U21 · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded

Italy U21 · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded

The first goal

France U21

Scores first in 1 of 1 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 0 and avoids defeat in 0.

Italy U21

Scores first in 1 of 1 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 0 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

France U21

M. Meite · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Italy U21

G. Calvani · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Head to head

1France U21 to win

0Draws

0Italy U21 to win

1 matches · 3.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2023-06-22	France U21 2-1 Italy U21	UEFA U21 Championship

More stats

Half-time

France U21: 47 days since last match · Italy U21: 158 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.