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Floriana vs Hibernians prediction
Malta · Premier League
Floriana
HiberniansPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 08:00 (Peru time) · Centenary Stadium
Floriana to score
79%- Floriana scored in 14 of 15 matches this season
- Floriana average 1.8 goals per match
- Hibernians concede 1.4 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Floriana 1.60 · Hibernians 1.18
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.78.
Corners, cards and first half
⏱️ First half
47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.31
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Floriana: 15 matches · Hibernians: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
Floriana at home · Hibernians away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 7 of 15 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 4.
Scores first in 4 of 11 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 4.
Players in form
K. Dervisagic · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
P. Mbong · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
M. Beerman · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
M. Romling · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Matos · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
I. Chukunyere · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.9 goals per match
| 2026-09-20 | Hibernians 0-4 Floriana | Premier League |
| 2026-02-22 | Floriana 4-1 Hibernians | Premier League |
| 2025-10-03 | Hibernians 0-1 Floriana | Premier League |
| 2025-03-29 | Floriana 1-1 Hibernians | Premier League |
| 2024-11-30 | Floriana 2-0 Hibernians | Premier League |
| 2024-09-22 | Floriana 1-1 Hibernians | Premier League |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valletta FC | 11 | +14 | 25 |
| 2 | Marsaxlokk | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 | Sliema Wanderers | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 4 | Hamrun Spartans | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | Floriana | 11 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Hibernians | 11 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Birkirkara | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 8 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 11 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Mosta | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Balzan FC | 11 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Birzebbuga | 11 | -12 | 6 |
| 12 | Gzira United | 11 | -17 | 5 |
More stats
Floriana: 5 days since last match · Hibernians: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 15:30 UTC.