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FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav prediction
Czechia · Czech Liga
FK Jablonec
Mlada BoleslavPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 09:00 (Peru time) · Stadion Střelnice · Referee: Antonin Bohata
FK Jablonec to score
83%- FK Jablonec scored in 17 of 22 matches this season
- FK Jablonec average 1.3 goals per match
- Nebyla is on fire: 3 goals in his last 5 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: FK Jablonec 1.78 · Mlada Boleslav 1.15
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.93.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.5 in total · FK Jablonec 5.4 · Mlada Boleslav 5.0
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.1
⏱️ First half
43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.27
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
FK Jablonec: 22 matches · Mlada Boleslav: 13 matches (all competitions with data).
FK Jablonec at home · Mlada Boleslav away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 10 of 21 matches and wins 9 of them.
Concedes first in 11 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 8 of 13 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
S. Nebyla · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
Dusan Pavlovic · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Filip Zorvan · 0 goles, 1 assists in 2 matches
Jan Buryan · 2 goles, 1 assists in 3 matches
Jan Zíka · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Josef Kolarik · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.7 goals per match
| 2026-06-27 | FK Jablonec 5-0 Mlada Boleslav | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2026-04-21 | FK Jablonec 1-0 Mlada Boleslav | Cup |
| 2026-02-28 | Mlada Boleslav 3-0 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| 2025-09-28 | FK Jablonec 2-0 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| 2025-04-19 | Mlada Boleslav 0-1 FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| 2024-07-20 | FK Jablonec 2-0 Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 14 | +28 | 34 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 13 | +8 | 26 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 14 | +7 | 25 |
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 14 | +12 | 24 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 14 | +2 | 24 |
| 6 | Teplice | 14 | 0 | 21 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 14 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Plzen | 14 | +7 | 20 |
| 9 | Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 0 | 20 |
| 10 | Zbrojovka Brno | 14 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 14 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 14 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 13 | -13 | 14 |
| 14 | Artis | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 14 | -13 | 10 |
| 16 | Zlin | 14 | -16 | 3 |
More stats
4 matches · 3.3 yellows and 0.25 reds per match · 0.00 penalties
FK Jablonec: 2 days since last match · Mlada Boleslav: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 16:40 UTC.