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Feirense vs Lusitânia Lourosa prediction
Portugal · Segunda Liga
Feirense
Lusitânia LourosaPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 06:00 (Peru time) · Estádio Marcolino de Castro · Referee: Jose Rodrigues
Lusitânia Lourosa or draw
74%- Lusitânia Lourosa unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 (D D W D W)
- Away, Lusitânia Lourosa are 4W 1D 0L this season
- Feirense in poor form: 4 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Feirense 1.00 · Lusitânia Lourosa 1.31
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.31.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.9 in total · Feirense 4.0 · Lusitânia Lourosa 5.9
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.2
⏱️ First half
43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.98
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Feirense: 10 matches · Lusitânia Lourosa: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
Feirense at home · Lusitânia Lourosa away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 0 of 8 matches and wins 0 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 0.
Scores first in 8 of 11 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 3.
Players in form
J. Monteiro · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches
Head to head
4 matches · 2.0 goals per match
| 2026-02-22 | Lusitânia Lourosa 1-0 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| 2025-09-28 | Feirense 1-2 Lusitânia Lourosa | Segunda Liga |
| 2024-06-02 | Feirense 3-0 Lusitânia Lourosa | Segunda Liga |
| 2024-05-26 | Lusitânia Lourosa 1-0 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penafiel | 10 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 10 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica B | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 10 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 | União de Leiria | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | Academica | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Tondela | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Farense | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | Vizela | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 10 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | AVS | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Torreense | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Amarante | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Felgueiras 1932 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | FC Porto B | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Chaves | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 | Feirense | 10 | -8 | 5 |
More stats
1 matches · – yellows and – reds per match
Feirense: 5 days since last match · Lusitânia Lourosa: 6 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 13:30 UTC.