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FC Vaduz vs FC Sion prediction

Switzerland · Super League

FC Vaduz#11 · 10 ptsDLWLL

0 - 4Full time

FC Sion#3 · 26 ptsDWLDW

21%25%54%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Rilind Nivokazi 11'⚽ Rilind Nivokazi 15'⚽ Ylyas Chouaref 34'⚽ Théo Berdayes 54'

Saturday, November 7 · 12:00 (Peru time) · Tourbillon

🎯 Model pick

FC Sion or draw

79%

Partial data

FC Sion unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 (D W L D W)
Away, FC Sion are 3W 3D 3L this season
FC Vaduz in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5

⚡ Summary

54%FC Sion to win@1.84 72%Over 2.5 goals@1.38 71%Both teams to score@1.40 52%Corners +9.5 (10.1)@1.9340%Cards +4.5 (4.2)@2.521-1Most likely score · 9%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

84'🔁 Sub: Numa Lavanchy · Damien MoschingerFC Sion

78'🔁 Sub: Rilind Nivokazi · Benjamin KololliFC Sion

78'🔁 Sub: Ali Kabacalman · Fodé SyllaFC Sion

66'🔁 Sub: Marcel Monsberger · Dejan DjokicFC Vaduz

65'🔁 Sub: Juan Cabrera · Niklas LangFC Vaduz

63'🔁 Sub: Donat Rrudhani · Franck SurdezFC Sion

63'🔁 Sub: Ylyas Chouaref · Josias LukembilaFC Sion

56'🟨 Malik SawadogoFC Vaduz

54'⚽ Théo Berdayes assist Ylyas ChouarefFC Sion

36'🔁 Sub: Nicolas Hasler · mischa beeliFC Vaduz

36'🔁 Sub: Dominik Schwizer · Malik SawadogoFC Vaduz

36'🔁 Sub: Mattia walker · Lado AkhalaiaFC Vaduz

34'⚽ Ylyas Chouaref assist Théo BerdayesFC Sion

15'⚽ Rilind Nivokazi assist Théo BerdayesFC Sion

11'⚽ Rilind Nivokazi assist Donat RrudhaniFC Sion

Win probability minute by minute

FC VaduzDrawFC Sion

At kick-off21%25%54%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

21%FC Vaduz to win@4.76

25%Draw@4.06

54%FC Sion to win@1.84

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals54%

Both teams to score71%

FC Vaduz or draw46%

FC Sion or draw79%

FC Vaduz to score78%

FC Sion to score90%

Most likely scores

1-19%1-28%2-27%1-36%0-26%

Expected goals per the model: FC Vaduz 1.51 · FC Sion 2.39

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.90.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.1 in total · FC Vaduz 4.2 · FC Sion 5.8

62%Over 8.5@1.61

52%Over 9.5@1.93

42%Over 10.5@2.38

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.2

56%Over 3.5@1.77

40%Over 4.5@2.52

26%Over 5.5@3.88

⏱️ First half

47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.85

84%Goal in the 1st half@1.19

55%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@1.82

87%Goal in the 2st half@1.15

⚽ Goals per team

45%FC Vaduz +1.5@2.24

69%FC Sion +1.5@1.45

6%FC Vaduz to win to nil@16.23

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.73Expected goals (xG)1.91

6Shots on target7

3Saves5

1Offsides3

20Shots11

1Yellow cards0

7Corners1

9Fouls3

0Red cards0

61Possession %39

Goals in the last 10 matches

FC Vaduz · last 10 matches

10/10+2.5 goals8/10both teams to score4.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

FC Sion · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

FC VaduzFC Sion

2.1Goals scored per match2.2

1.8Goals conceded per match1.7

100%Matches with over 1.5 goals94%

94%Matches with over 2.5 goals78%

81%Both teams to score72%

19%Clean sheet22%

0%Matches without scoring6%

4.4Corners won per match5.6

2.4Yellow cards per match1.6

FC Vaduz: 16 matches · FC Sion: 18 matches (all competitions with data).

FC Vaduz at home · FC Sion away

FC Vaduz at home

4G1E2P

WLWWD

FC Sion away

3G3E3P

DLWWW

When do they score and concede?

FC Vaduz · goals by minute in 16 matches scored conceded

FC Sion · goals by minute in 18 matches scored conceded

The first goal

FC Vaduz

Scores first in 10 of 16 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 0.

FC Sion

Scores first in 6 of 18 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 8.

Players in form

FC Vaduz

M. Monsberger · 4 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Lutfi Dalipi · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Liridon Berisha · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

FC Sion

Josias Lukembila · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches

Rilind Nivokazi · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Théo Berdayes · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

3FC Vaduz to win

2Draws

5FC Sion to win

10 matches · 3.4 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-08-09	FC Sion 3-2 FC Vaduz	Super League
2024-04-06	FC Sion 2-2 FC Vaduz	Challenge League
2024-02-16	FC Vaduz 1-2 FC Sion	Challenge League
2023-11-10	FC Sion 3-3 FC Vaduz	Challenge League
2023-07-23	FC Vaduz 0-2 FC Sion	Challenge League
2021-04-11	FC Vaduz 3-0 FC Sion	Super League

Standings

Super League standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	13	+21	34
2	BSC Young Boys	13	+16	28
3	FC Sion	13	+11	26
4	FC ST. Gallen	13	+2	22
5	FC Zurich	13	-1	21
6	Servette FC	13	+1	17
7	FC Basel 1893	13	-4	15
8	FC Thun	13	-10	14
9	FC Luzern	13	-7	13
10	Grasshoppers	13	-13	11
11	FC Vaduz	13	-5	10
12	Lausanne	13	-11	7

More stats

Half-time

FC Vaduz: 7 days since last match · FC Sion: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 19:30 UTC.