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FC Porto B vs Portimonense prediction

Portugal · Segunda Liga
FC Porto B badgeFC Porto B#16 · 8 ptsLDWDL
0 - 1Full time
Portimonense badgePortimonense#10 · 14 ptsDLWWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Samuel Neves Bengue 77'

Sunday, November 8 · 06:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Dr. Jorge Sampaio · Referee: Bruno Pires Costa

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Portimonense to score

70%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

89'🔁 Sub: Felipe Favero · Jarleysom Ferreira de AmurimPortimonense
80'🔁 Sub: Kauê Rodrigues Pessanha · Anha CandeFC Porto B
79'🔁 Sub: Samuel Yépié Yépié · Diogo CabralPortimonense
79'🔁 Sub: Shoya Nakajima · Joao casimiroPortimonense
77'⚽ Samuel Neves BenguePortimonense
69'🔁 Sub: Joao·Teixeira · Tiago Gonçalves da SilvaFC Porto B
66'🔁 Sub: Welinton Junior · Dânio DjassiPortimonense
66'🔁 Sub: Yanis da Rocha · Ericson Araujo Da Costa FilhoPortimonense
60'🔁 Sub: Mateus Mide · Bernardo LimaFC Porto B
59'🔁 Sub: Eduardo Ferreira · Trofim MelnichenkoFC Porto B
59'🔁 Sub: Duarte Cunha · Cardoso varelaFC Porto B
44'🟨 Eduardo FerreiraFC Porto B
37'🟨 Luis GomesFC Porto B

Win probability minute by minute

FC Porto BDrawPortimonense
At kick-off33%33%34%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

33%FC Porto B to win@3.06
33%Draw@3.01
34%Portimonense to win@2.93
Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams to score51%
FC Porto B or draw66%
Portimonense or draw67%
FC Porto B to score69%
Portimonense to score70%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-012%0-19%1-09%1-27%

Expected goals per the model: FC Porto B 1.20 · Portimonense 1.23

How many goals will there be?

9%0 goals21%1 goals26%2 goals21%3 goals13%4 goals10%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.43.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.7 in total · FC Porto B 3.7 · Portimonense 6.0

58%Over 8.5@1.72
48%Over 9.5@2.09
38%Over 10.5@2.62
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.5

76%Over 3.5@1.32
61%Over 4.5@1.63
46%Over 5.5@2.16

⏱️ First half

47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.13

68%Goal in the 1st half@1.48
31%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.21
73%Goal in the 2st half@1.37

⚽ Goals per team

34%FC Porto B +1.5@2.96
35%Portimonense +1.5@2.87
18%FC Porto B to win to nil@5.52

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0Red cards0
2Yellow cards0
6Corners10
4Shots on target5
41Possession %59
12Shots15

Goals in the last 10 matches

FC Porto B · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.6goals per match
2.5en Lusitânia Lourosa: 0-2 0-2 vs Farense: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Feirense: 1-0 1-0 vs Penafiel: 0-3 0-3 en Tondela: 0-3 0-3 vs Vizela: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Leixoes: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs União de Leiria: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Amarante: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Portimonense: 0-1 0-1

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Portimonense · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals3/10both teams to score1.8goals per match
2.5en Benfica B: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Leixoes: 0-2 0-2 en União de Leiria: 0-1 0-1 vs Tondela: 0-2 0-2 en Castro Daire: 1-0 1-0 en Amarante: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Florgrade: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Sporting CP B: 0-3 0-3 vs Torreense: 0-0 0-0 at FC Porto B: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

FC Porto BPortimonense
0.9Goals scored per match0.8
1.9Goals conceded per match1.0
89%Matches with over 1.5 goals64%
67%Matches with over 2.5 goals27%
56%Both teams to score27%
11%Clean sheet36%
33%Matches without scoring45%
1.3Corners won per match3.0
3.3Yellow cards per match2.3

FC Porto B: 9 matches · Portimonense: 11 matches (all competitions with data).

FC Porto B at home · Portimonense away

FC Porto B at home
0G2E2P
DDLLW
Portimonense away
4G1E2P
LWWWL

When do they score and concede?

FC Porto B · goals by minute in 9 matches scored conceded
010-153416-302231-451446-601061-751676-90
Portimonense · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded
110-150216-303231-451246-603061-751476-90

The first goal

FC Porto B

Scores first in 4 of 9 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 0.

Portimonense

Scores first in 5 of 10 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

FC Porto B

Kaue · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

E. Ferreira · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

D. Cunha · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Portimonense

D. Djassi · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

Welinton Junior · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Mamede · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches

Head to head

3FC Porto B to win
0Draws
3Portimonense to win

6 matches · 2.3 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-03-21Portimonense 2-1 FC Porto BSegunda Liga
2025-11-23FC Porto B 1-0 PortimonenseSegunda Liga
2025-05-11Portimonense 0-3 FC Porto BSegunda Liga
2025-01-12FC Porto B 1-2 PortimonenseSegunda Liga
2017-03-05FC Porto B 1-0 PortimonenseSegunda Liga
2016-09-28Portimonense 3-0 FC Porto BSegunda Liga

Standings

Segunda Liga standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Penafiel10+1222
2Sporting CP B10+822
3Benfica B10+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10+619
5União de Leiria10+317
6Academica10+316
7Tondela10+216
8Farense10+315
9Vizela10+115
10Portimonense10-314
11AVS10+113
12Leixoes10-411
13Torreense10-310
14Amarante10-49
15Felgueiras 193210-38
16FC Porto B10-108
17Chaves10-108
18Feirense10-85

More stats

Referee: Bruno Pires Costa

1 matches · 4.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 1.00 penalties

Half-time

FC Porto B: 8 days since last match · Portimonense: 7 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 13:30 UTC.

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