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FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske prediction

Denmark · Superliga

FC Midtjylland#2 · 32 ptsLWWLW

2 - 2Full time

Sonderjyske#12 · 9 ptsLLWLW

68%20%12%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Anders Bergholt 2'⚽ Maxime Soulas 24' (p.p.)⚽ Sofus Johannesen 78'

Sunday, November 8 · 12:00 (Peru time) · MCH Arena · Referee: Morten Krogh

🎯 Model pick

FC Midtjylland to win

68%

Full data

FC Midtjylland have won 3 of their last 5 (L W W L W)
At home, FC Midtjylland are 7W 1D 3L this season
Sonderjyske in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5

⚡ Summary

68%FC Midtjylland to win@1.46 68%Over 2.5 goals@1.46 58%Both teams to score@1.74 45%Corners +9.5 (9.4)@2.2332%Cards +4.5 (3.7)@3.092-1Most likely score · 9%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

89'🟨 Brynjar Ingi BjarnasonSonderjyske

86'🟨 Andreas OggesenSonderjyske

78'⚽ Sofus JohannesenFC Midtjylland

78'🔁 Sub: Alexander Munksgaard · Brynjar Ingi BjarnasonSonderjyske

78'🔁 Sub: Mohamed Cherif · Matthew HoppeSonderjyske

70'🟨 Mohamed CherifSonderjyske

67'🔁 Sub: Sefer Emini · Andreas OggesenSonderjyske

67'🔁 Sub: Anders Bergholt · Tobias Klysner BreunerSonderjyske

67'🔁 Sub: Victor Bak Jensen · Julius EmefileFC Midtjylland

67'🔁 Sub: Kjell-Arik Wätjen · Cho Gue-sungFC Midtjylland

60'🟨 Sefer EminiSonderjyske

57'🔁 Sub: Pedro Bravo · Denil CastilloFC Midtjylland

50'🟨 Mike TullbergFC Midtjylland

45'+3🟨 Rasmus VinderslevSonderjyske

45'🔁 Sub: Ousmane Diao · Rasmus KristensenFC Midtjylland

35'🔁 Sub: Anders Raffnsøe Hoeg · Rasmus VinderslevSonderjyske

28'🟨 Ousmane DiaoFC Midtjylland

24'⚽ Maxime Soulas (own goal)FC Midtjylland

2'⚽ Anders Bergholt assist Marcus BundgaardSonderjyske

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

68%FC Midtjylland to win@1.46

20%Draw@5.12

12%Sonderjyske to win@8.27

Over 1.5 goals87%

Over 2.5 goals68%

Over 3.5 goals48%

Both teams to score58%

FC Midtjylland or draw88%

Sonderjyske or draw32%

FC Midtjylland to score92%

Sonderjyske to score65%

Most likely scores

2-19%2-09%1-18%3-17%3-07%

Expected goals per the model: FC Midtjylland 2.57 · Sonderjyske 1.05

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.62.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.4 in total · FC Midtjylland 4.9 · Sonderjyske 4.4

55%Over 8.5@1.81

45%Over 9.5@2.23

35%Over 10.5@2.84

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.7 · el árbitro Morten Krogh saca 3.7 por partido

49%Over 3.5@2.05

32%Over 4.5@3.09

20%Over 5.5@5.05

⏱️ First half

52% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.88

85%Goal in the 1st half@1.18

56%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@1.78

82%Goal in the 2st half@1.21

⚽ Goals per team

73%FC Midtjylland +1.5@1.38

28%Sonderjyske +1.5@3.54

31%FC Midtjylland to win to nil@3.21

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.54Expected goals (xG)0.83

5Shots on target4

1Saves4

1Offsides1

21Shots10

1Yellow cards5

9Corners5

9Fouls20

0Red cards0

63Possession %37

Goals in the last 10 matches

FC Midtjylland · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals9/10both teams to score3.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Sonderjyske · last 10 matches

8/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score4.1goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

FC MidtjyllandSonderjyske

1.8Goals scored per match1.3

1.3Goals conceded per match2.4

86%Matches with over 1.5 goals85%

50%Matches with over 2.5 goals69%

68%Both teams to score54%

18%Clean sheet15%

14%Matches without scoring38%

5.2Corners won per match4.7

1.6Yellow cards per match1.8

FC Midtjylland: 22 matches · Sonderjyske: 13 matches (all competitions with data).

FC Midtjylland at home · Sonderjyske away

FC Midtjylland at home

7G1E3P

LWLWW

Sonderjyske away

0G1E5P

LLDLL

When do they score and concede?

FC Midtjylland · goals by minute in 22 matches scored conceded

Sonderjyske · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded

The first goal

FC Midtjylland

Scores first in 13 of 22 matches and wins 11 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 5.

Sonderjyske

Scores first in 4 of 12 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

FC Midtjylland

Philip Billing · 2 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches

F. Etim · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Kjell-Arik Wätjen · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Sonderjyske

Osaze De Rosario · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Mathias Olesen · 0 goles, 3 assists in 4 matches

Mohamed Cherif · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

6FC Midtjylland to win

2Draws

2Sonderjyske to win

10 matches · 5.1 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-07-26	Sonderjyske 2-3 FC Midtjylland	Superliga
2026-04-23	Sonderjyske 1-2 FC Midtjylland	Superliga
2026-04-04	FC Midtjylland 2-2 Sonderjyske	Superliga
2026-01-09	Sonderjyske 3-6 FC Midtjylland	Friendlies Clubs
2025-11-23	Sonderjyske 2-1 FC Midtjylland	Superliga
2025-07-28	FC Midtjylland 6-2 Sonderjyske	Superliga

Standings

Superliga standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	14	+17	32
2	FC Midtjylland	14	+12	32
3	Viborg	14	+9	26
4	FC Nordsjaelland	14	+8	23
5	Brondby	14	+2	22
6	Odense	14	-3	17
7	AC Horsens	14	0	16
8	Aarhus	14	-2	15
9	Silkeborg	14	-6	15
10	Lyngby	14	-10	11
11	Randers FC	14	-13	11
12	Sonderjyske	14	-14	9

More stats

Referee: Morten Krogh

9 matches · 3.3 yellows and 0.33 reds per match · 1.33 penalties

Half-time

FC Midtjylland: 2 days since last match · Sonderjyske: 5 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 19:30 UTC.