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FC Kharkiv vs Karpaty prediction
Ukraine · Premier League
FC Kharkiv
KarpatyProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Saturday, November 7 · 06:00 (Peru time) · Tsentralnyi Stadion · Referee: Oleksiy Derevinskiy
FC Kharkiv or draw
78%- FC Kharkiv unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 (W W W W W)
- At home, FC Kharkiv are 4W 0D 1L this season
- Head to head: 2W 1D 0L for FC Kharkiv
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: FC Kharkiv 1.55 · Karpaty 1.00
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.55.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.5 in total · FC Kharkiv 3.9 · Karpaty 4.6
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.7
⏱️ First half
42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.07
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
FC Kharkiv: 9 matches · Karpaty: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
FC Kharkiv at home · Karpaty away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 6 of 9 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 1.
Scores first in 7 of 10 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 3 and avoids defeat in 2.
Players in form
B. Zabergja · 4 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
R. Gadzhyev · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
I. Krupskyi · 1 gol, 3 assists in 5 matches
Yan Kostenko · 3 goles, 0 assists in 2 matches
Xeber Alkain Mitxelena · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Yaroslav Karabin · 0 goles, 2 assists in 3 matches
Head to head
3 matches · 2.7 goals per match
| 2026-05-12 | FC Kharkiv 2-2 Karpaty | Premier League |
| 2025-11-22 | Karpaty 1-2 FC Kharkiv | Premier League |
| 2024-07-05 | Karpaty 0-1 FC Kharkiv | Friendlies Clubs |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 12 | +17 | 29 |
| 2 | Polessya | 11 | +17 | 28 |
| 3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 11 | +7 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 9 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 11 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 | LNZ Cherkasy | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 | Zorya Luhansk | 12 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Kolos Kovalivka | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi | 12 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Bukovyna | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Chornomorets | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Veres Rivne | 12 | -11 | 9 |
| 14 | Obolon'-Brovar | 11 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Kudrivka | 12 | -17 | 8 |
| 16 | Kryvbas KR | 10 | -8 | 7 |
More stats
2 matches · 3.0 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.50 penalties
FC Kharkiv: 14 days since last match · Karpaty: 4 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 13:50 UTC.