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FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999 prediction

International · UEFA Europa Conference League
FC Copenhagen badgeFC Copenhagen#7 · 7 ptsWDDDW
2 - 1Full time
FC Iberia 1999 badgeFC Iberia 1999#29 · 1 ptsDLLLW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ M. Elyounoussi 19' (p)⚽ V. Selimovic 22' (p.p.)⚽ A. Dzagania 30'

Thursday, November 5 · 15:00 (Peru time) · Parken · Referee: Robert Hennessy

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

81%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+4🟨 Lucas CafeFC Iberia 1999
89'🔁 Sub: N. Dadiani · L. ChikhradzeFC Iberia 1999
89'🔁 Sub: Z. Natchkebia · Lucas CafeFC Iberia 1999
84'🔁 Sub: H. Nemeth · M. MadsenFC Copenhagen
80'🔁 Sub: J. Tiboue · I. AlhassanFC Iberia 1999
77'🔁 Sub: M. Carrizo · RobertFC Copenhagen
76'🟨 V. SelimovicFC Iberia 1999
74'🔁 Sub: N. Sikharulashvili · D. KvartskhavaFC Iberia 1999
73'🟨 A. MarkgrafFC Copenhagen
63'🔁 Sub: A. Kral · K. MyrieFC Copenhagen
53'📺 J. TiboueFC Iberia 1999
46'🔁 Sub: A. Sorensen · A. MarkgrafFC Copenhagen
46'🔁 Sub: M. Elyounoussi · W. ClemFC Copenhagen
44'🟨 N. DadianiFC Iberia 1999
30'⚽ A. DzaganiaFC Iberia 1999
22'⚽ V. Selimovic (own goal)FC Copenhagen
19'⚽ M. Elyounoussi (pen.)FC Copenhagen
18'🟨 G. MakaridzeFC Iberia 1999
7'🟨 G. Vianney NdjeeFC Copenhagen
5'🟨 Z. NatchkebiaFC Iberia 1999

Win probability minute by minute

FC CopenhagenDrawFC Iberia 1999
At kick-off78%16%6%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

78%FC Copenhagen to win@1.28
16%Draw@6.24
6%FC Iberia 1999 to win@17.86
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score42%
FC Copenhagen or draw94%
FC Iberia 1999 or draw22%
FC Copenhagen to score91%
FC Iberia 1999 to score45%

Most likely scores

2-013%1-011%3-011%2-18%1-17%

Expected goals per the model: FC Copenhagen 2.60 · FC Iberia 1999 0.60

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals13%1 goals21%2 goals22%3 goals18%4 goals22%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.20.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.3 in total · FC Copenhagen 4.5 · FC Iberia 1999 4.8

55%Over 8.5@1.83
44%Over 9.5@2.26
35%Over 10.5@2.88
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.7 · el árbitro R. Hennessy saca 5.0 por partido

65%Over 3.5@1.53
49%Over 4.5@2.05
34%Over 5.5@2.94

⏱️ First half

50% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.59

80%Goal in the 1st half@1.26
47%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.11
80%Goal in the 2st half@1.25

⚽ Goals per team

73%FC Copenhagen +1.5@1.36
12%FC Iberia 1999 +1.5@8.20
49%FC Copenhagen to win to nil@2.03

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

4Shots on target2
11Shots5
15Fouls17
3Corners2
0Offsides3
53Possession %47
2Yellow cards5
1Saves3
2.22Expected goals (xG)0.22

Goals in the last 10 matches

FC Copenhagen · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.3goals per match
2.5vs AC Horsens: 2-0 2-0 en Brondby: 1-0 1-0 en FC Midtjylland: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs SC Braga: 3-0 3-0 vs Aarhus: 1-1 1-1 ambosen FK Crvena Zvezda: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Odense: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Sonderjyske: 2-0 2-0 vs FC Iberia 1999: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Brondby: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

FC Iberia 1999 · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5vs Flora Tallinn: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Slovan Bratislava: 0-2 0-2 en Slovan Bratislava: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Larne: 0-0 0-0 vs Larne: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Jagiellonia: 0-4 0-4 vs Jagiellonia: 1-2 1-2 ambosen St. Truiden: 0-2 0-2 vs Mjallby AIF: 1-1 1-1 ambosat FC Copenhagen: 1-2 1-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

FC CopenhagenFC Iberia 1999
2.4Goals scored per match1.0
0.9Goals conceded per match1.7
90%Matches with over 1.5 goals90%
67%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%
52%Both teams to score60%
43%Clean sheet10%
10%Matches without scoring40%
5.0Corners won per match5.6
1.5Yellow cards per match2.9

FC Copenhagen: 21 matches · FC Iberia 1999: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

FC Copenhagen at home · FC Iberia 1999 away

FC Copenhagen at home
8G2E0P
DDWWW
FC Iberia 1999 away
1G2E2P
LLDDW

When do they score and concede?

FC Copenhagen · goals by minute in 21 matches scored conceded
750-157216-309631-457146-605461-7515276-90
FC Iberia 1999 · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded
110-152216-302531-452046-602461-751576-90

The first goal

FC Copenhagen

Scores first in 15 of 20 matches and wins 12 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 3.

FC Iberia 1999

Scores first in 4 of 9 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

FC Copenhagen

Andreas Cornelius · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Birger Meling · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

M. Carrizo · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

FC Iberia 1999

N. Sikharulashvili · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

V. Bedoshvili · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

J. Jinjolava · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Standings

UEFA Europa Conference League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1FC Lugano3+79
2Panathinaikos3+69
3Twente3+69
4Monaco3+69
5Brighton3+57
6Brann3+47
7FC Copenhagen3+47
8Universitatea Craiova3+47
9Mjallby AIF3+47
10St. Truiden3+37
11Ajax3+66
12Trabzonspor3+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3+16
14SC Freiburg3-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda304
16Atalanta304
17SC Braga3-14
18Gent3-14
19Riga303
20FC Thun303
21Borac Banja Luka3-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3-33
23FK Jablonec3-12
24Aarhus3-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3-22
27Kairat Almaty3-42
28CSKA Sofia3-21
29FC Iberia 19993-31
30Pafos3-41
31Getafe3-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3-41
33KuPS3-41
34FC Midtjylland3-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3-100

More stats

Referee: R. Hennessy

18 matches · 4.4 yellows and 0.60 reds per match · 0.20 penalties

Half-time

FC Copenhagen: 3 days since last match · FC Iberia 1999: 14 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 00:10 UTC.

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