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FC Copenhagen vs Brondby prediction

Denmark · Superliga
FC Copenhagen badgeFC Copenhagen#1 · 32 ptsWWDDD
1 - 0Full time
Brondby badgeBrondby#5 · 22 ptsWWLWL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ William Clem 54'

Sunday, November 8 · 06:00 (Peru time) · Parken Stadium · Referee: Jacob A Sundberg

Picky
🎯 Model pick

FC Copenhagen or draw

82%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

86'🔁 Sub: Mads Frokjaer-Jensen · Daniel WassBrondby
84'🔁 Sub: Andreas Cornelius · Viktor DadasonFC Copenhagen
84'🔁 Sub: Akos Markgraf · Junnosuke SuzukiFC Copenhagen
76'🟨 Emmanuel DennisBrondby
74'🔁 Sub: Olti Hyseni · Patrick MortensenBrondby
74'🔁 Sub: Christopher Olivier · Oliver Marc Rose-VilladsenBrondby
71'🔁 Sub: Robert Silva · Alex KrálFC Copenhagen
71'🔁 Sub: William Clem · Thomas DelaneyFC Copenhagen
63'🔁 Sub: Filip Bundgaard Kristensen · Sho FukudaBrondby
63'🔁 Sub: Jacob Brøchner Ambæk · Emmanuel DennisBrondby
57'🟨 Max Isaac EjdumBrondby
54'⚽ William ClemFC Copenhagen
18'🟨 Mads Emil MadsenFC Copenhagen
11'🟨 Rodrigo HuescasFC Copenhagen

Win probability minute by minute

FC CopenhagenDrawBrondby
At kick-off52%30%18%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

52%FC Copenhagen to win@1.92
30%Draw@3.38
18%Brondby to win@5.47
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams to score53%
FC Copenhagen or draw82%
Brondby or draw48%
FC Copenhagen to score82%
Brondby to score62%

Most likely scores

1-114%1-010%2-09%0-09%2-19%

Expected goals per the model: FC Copenhagen 1.73 · Brondby 0.97

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals18%1 goals24%2 goals22%3 goals15%4 goals14%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.70.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.1 in total · FC Copenhagen 4.8 · Brondby 5.3

62%Over 8.5@1.61
52%Over 9.5@1.92
42%Over 10.5@2.37
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.8

50%Over 3.5@2.01
33%Over 4.5@3.01
21%Over 5.5@4.87

⏱️ First half

49% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.32

73%Goal in the 1st half@1.37
38%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.64
75%Goal in the 2st half@1.34

⚽ Goals per team

52%FC Copenhagen +1.5@1.94
25%Brondby +1.5@3.95
29%FC Copenhagen to win to nil@3.50

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

0.76Expected goals (xG)0.05
5Shots on target0
3Offsides2
16Shots2
2Yellow cards2
6Corners2
0Saves4
11Fouls16
0Red cards0
52Possession %48

Goals in the last 10 matches

FC Copenhagen · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.3goals per match
2.5vs AC Horsens: 2-0 2-0 at Brondby: 1-0 1-0 en FC Midtjylland: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs SC Braga: 3-0 3-0 vs Aarhus: 1-1 1-1 ambosen FK Crvena Zvezda: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Odense: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Sonderjyske: 2-0 2-0 vs FC Iberia 1999: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs Brondby: 1-0 1-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Brondby · last 10 matches
7/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.4goals per match
2.5vs Silkeborg: 3-1 3-1 ambosen FC Nordsjaelland: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Randers FC: 0-3 0-3 en FC Midtjylland: 1-4 1-4 ambosvs FC Copenhagen: 0-1 0-1 vs Lyngby: 5-2 5-2 ambosen Odense: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Randers FC: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Aarhus: 2-0 2-0 at FC Copenhagen: 0-1 0-1

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

FC CopenhagenBrondby
2.4Goals scored per match1.8
0.9Goals conceded per match1.5
91%Matches with over 1.5 goals85%
68%Matches with over 2.5 goals62%
55%Both teams to score62%
41%Clean sheet23%
9%Matches without scoring15%
4.9Corners won per match6.7
1.5Yellow cards per match2.1

FC Copenhagen: 22 matches · Brondby: 13 matches (all competitions with data).

FC Copenhagen at home · Brondby away

FC Copenhagen at home
9G2E0P
WDDWW
Brondby away
2G1E3P
WLLLW

When do they score and concede?

FC Copenhagen · goals by minute in 22 matches scored conceded
750-159316-309631-457146-605461-7515276-90
Brondby · goals by minute in 13 matches scored conceded
230-153416-305231-456146-602561-755576-90

The first goal

FC Copenhagen

Scores first in 16 of 21 matches and wins 13 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 3.

Brondby

Scores first in 7 of 13 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

FC Copenhagen

Andreas Cornelius · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Felix Beijmo · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Birger Meling · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Brondby

Mads Frokjaer-Jensen · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Jacob Brøchner Ambæk · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Olti Hyseni · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

6FC Copenhagen to win
1Draws
3Brondby to win

10 matches · 2.6 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-09-20Brondby 0-1 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
2026-05-21Brondby 1-3 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
2025-11-23FC Copenhagen 1-0 BrondbySuperliga
2025-09-13Brondby 2-1 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
2025-05-04Brondby 0-3 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
2025-04-13FC Copenhagen 1-2 BrondbySuperliga

Standings

Superliga standings
#TeamPGDPts
1FC Copenhagen14+1732
2FC Midtjylland14+1232
3Viborg14+926
4FC Nordsjaelland14+823
5Brondby14+222
6Odense14-317
7AC Horsens14016
8Aarhus14-215
9Silkeborg14-615
10Lyngby14-1011
11Randers FC14-1311
12Sonderjyske14-149

More stats

Referee: Jacob A Sundberg

2 matches · 4.5 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

FC Copenhagen: 2 days since last match · Brondby: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 13:30 UTC.

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