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Eyüpspor vs Kocaelispor prediction

Türkiye · Süper Lig

Eyüpspor#18 · 3 ptsLLLLL

0 - 2Full time

Kocaelispor#7 · 19 ptsDWLLW

19%31%50%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ D. Agyei 5'⚽ B. Kutlu 28'

Saturday, November 7 · 05:30 (Peru time) · Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium · Referee: Melek Dakan

🎯 Model pick

Kocaelispor or draw

81%

Full data

Eyüpspor in poor form: 5 defeats in their last 5
#7 in the table, Eyüpspor #18
Head to head: 3W 1D 2L for Kocaelispor

⚡ Summary

50%Kocaelispor to win@2.00 43%Over 2.5 goals@2.33 50%Both teams to score@2.02 44%Corners +9.5 (9.3)@2.2729%Cards +4.5 (3.5)@3.491-1Most likely score · 14%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

85'🔁 Sub: Massanga Matondo · H. AkmanEyüpspor

84'🔁 Sub: M. Susoho · T. GulliksenKocaelispor

83'🟨 D. AgyeiKocaelispor

83'🔁 Sub: R. Rivas · M. CinanKocaelispor

82'🟨 Z. JulesEyüpspor

81'🟨 R. RivasKocaelispor

74'🔁 Sub: M. Baku · G. SousaKocaelispor

74'🔁 Sub: F. Aye · M. AltunbasKocaelispor

63'🟨 T. BingolKocaelispor

63'🔁 Sub: O. Ceyhan · B. K. SatliEyüpspor

46'🔁 Sub: B. Boutobba · Y. BarasiEyüpspor

46'🔁 Sub: A. Sabiri · D. CostaEyüpspor

28'⚽ B. Kutlu assist R. RivasKocaelispor

18'🔁 Sub: L. Pintor · C. SadiaEyüpspor

6'🔁 Sub: Show · T. BingolKocaelispor

5'⚽ D. AgyeiKocaelispor

Win probability minute by minute

EyüpsporDrawKocaelispor

At kick-off19%31%50%Full time0%0%100%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

19%Eyüpspor to win@5.21

31%Draw@3.24

50%Kocaelispor to win@2.00

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals43%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Both teams to score50%

Eyüpspor or draw50%

Kocaelispor or draw81%

Eyüpspor to score59%

Kocaelispor to score78%

Most likely scores

1-114%0-112%0-011%0-210%1-29%

Expected goals per the model: Eyüpspor 0.89 · Kocaelispor 1.54

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.43.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.3 in total · Eyüpspor 4.6 · Kocaelispor 4.8

55%Over 8.5@1.83

44%Over 9.5@2.27

35%Over 10.5@2.89

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.5

45%Over 3.5@2.24

29%Over 4.5@3.49

17%Over 5.5@5.90

⏱️ First half

52% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.27

72%Goal in the 1st half@1.39

36%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.75

69%Goal in the 2st half@1.46

⚽ Goals per team

22%Eyüpspor +1.5@4.47

46%Kocaelispor +1.5@2.20

11%Eyüpspor to win to nil@9.33

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

3Shots on target7

5Shots12

11Fouls15

3Corners1

1Offsides1

49Possession %51

1Yellow cards2

5Saves3

0.26Expected goals (xG)1.00

Goals in the last 10 matches

Eyüpspor · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals2/10both teams to score3.2goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Kocaelispor · last 10 matches

4/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.0goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

EyüpsporKocaelispor

0.3Goals scored per match1.1

2.8Goals conceded per match0.9

70%Matches with over 1.5 goals70%

50%Matches with over 2.5 goals40%

20%Both teams to score40%

0%Clean sheet40%

80%Matches without scoring30%

3.7Corners won per match4.3

1.3Yellow cards per match2.0

Eyüpspor: 10 matches · Kocaelispor: 10 matches (all competitions with data).

Eyüpspor at home · Kocaelispor away

Eyüpspor at home

1G0E4P

LLLWL

Kocaelispor away

2G0E3P

WLLWL

When do they score and concede?

Eyüpspor · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded

Kocaelispor · goals by minute in 10 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Eyüpspor

Scores first in 0 of 10 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 1.

Kocaelispor

Scores first in 4 of 9 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Eyüpspor

A. Abdullahi · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

A. Sabiri · 0 goles, 1 assists in 3 matches

Kocaelispor

B. Kutlu · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

M. Baku · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Show · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

2Eyüpspor to win

1Draws

3Kocaelispor to win

6 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-03-09	Eyüpspor 0-1 Kocaelispor	Süper Lig
2025-10-04	Kocaelispor 1-0 Eyüpspor	Süper Lig
2024-01-20	Kocaelispor 2-1 Eyüpspor	1. Lig
2023-08-21	Eyüpspor 2-0 Kocaelispor	1. Lig
2022-05-14	Eyüpspor 2-1 Kocaelispor	1. Lig
2021-12-19	Kocaelispor 1-1 Eyüpspor	1. Lig

Standings

Süper Lig standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	11	+12	28
2	Trabzonspor	11	+18	25
3	Amed	11	+13	23
4	Beşiktaş	11	+11	22
5	Kasımpaşa	11	+6	20
6	Fenerbahçe	11	+19	19
7	Kocaelispor	11	+4	19
8	Başakşehir	11	+2	17
9	Çorum FK	11	0	16
10	Göztepe	11	+3	15
11	Rizespor	11	-3	14
12	Erzurumspor FK	11	-7	14
13	Alanyaspor	11	-9	12
14	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	11	-9	11
15	Konyaspor	11	-8	8
16	Gaziantep FK	11	-10	8
17	Samsunspor	11	-15	7
18	Eyüpspor	11	-27	3

More stats

Referee: M. Dakan

2 matches · 2.0 yellows and 0.50 reds per match · 0.00 penalties

Half-time

Eyüpspor: 6 days since last match · Kocaelispor: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 13:00 UTC.