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Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles prediction
Netherlands · Eredivisie
Excelsior
GO Ahead EaglesPre-match probabilities
Saturday, 7 November · 15:00 (Peru time) · Van Donge & De Roo Stadion · Referee: Jeroen Manschot
Over 1.5 goals
84%- 2+ goals in 10 of 11 Excelsior matches
- Also in 11 of 11 GO Ahead Eagles matches
- Head to head: 2.2 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Excelsior 1.56 · GO Ahead Eagles 1.75
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.31.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.7 in total · Excelsior 4.0 · GO Ahead Eagles 5.6
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 2.2
⏱️ First half
43% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.42
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Excelsior: 11 matches · GO Ahead Eagles: 11 matches (all competitions with data).
Excelsior at home · GO Ahead Eagles away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 3 of 11 matches and wins 3 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 2.
Scores first in 4 of 11 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
I. Yegoian · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
L. Hartjes · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
A. Sliti · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
S. Tengstedt · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
S. I. Sigurdarson · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
M. Suray · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
9 matches · 2.2 goals per match
| 2026-03-01 | Excelsior 0-1 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| 2025-10-26 | GO Ahead Eagles 2-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| 2024-03-30 | GO Ahead Eagles 3-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| 2023-12-16 | Excelsior 1-1 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| 2023-04-14 | Excelsior 2-1 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| 2022-10-29 | GO Ahead Eagles 3-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 12 | +25 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 12 | +19 | 25 |
| 3 | Ajax | 12 | +17 | 25 |
| 4 | Twente | 12 | +18 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | +8 | 23 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 12 | +8 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | -3 | 17 |
| 9 | Groningen | 12 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Cambuur | 12 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC Nijmegen | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 12 | -13 | 12 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 12 | -13 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar | 12 | -7 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | -29 | 3 |
More stats
Excelsior: 6 days since last match · GO Ahead Eagles: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 22:30 UTC.