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Everton vs Coventry prediction

England · Premier League
Everton badgeEverton#6 · 16 ptsWLLDW
3 - 1Full time
Coventry badgeCoventry#17 · 9 ptsWLLWW

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Yann Gboho 52'⚽ Thierno Barry 56'⚽ Thierno Barry 61'⚽ Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 81'

Friday, 6 November · 15:00 (Peru time) · Hill Dickinson Stadium · Referee: Stuart Attwell

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Everton to score

80%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'🔁 Sub: Tyrique George · Charly AlcarazEverton
89'🔁 Sub: Jarrad Branthwaite · Michael KeaneEverton
88'🟨 Caleb YirenkyiCoventry
88'🟨 Jarrad BranthwaiteEverton
87'🔁 Sub: Taiwo Awoniyi · Sidiki CherifCoventry
86'🔁 Sub: Victor Torp · Matt GrimesCoventry
86'🔁 Sub: Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · Loum TchaounaCoventry
86'🔁 Sub: Jack Rudoni · Gustavo HamerCoventry
81'⚽ Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall assist Thierno BarryEverton
73'🔁 Sub: Merlin Röhl · Jake O'BrienEverton
73'🔁 Sub: Harrison Armstrong · Hayden HackneyEverton
73'🔁 Sub: Tyler Dibling · Brennan JohnsonEverton
73'🔁 Sub: Yann Gboho · Brandon Thomas-AsanteCoventry
61'⚽ Thierno BarryEverton
56'⚽ Thierno Barry assist Vitaliy MykolenkoEverton
52'⚽ Yann GbohoCoventry

Win probability minute by minute

EvertonDrawCoventry
At kick-off45%30%25%Full time100%0%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

45%Everton to win@2.21
30%Draw@3.32
25%Coventry to win@4.06
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Both teams to score55%
Everton or draw75%
Coventry or draw55%
Everton to score80%
Coventry to score70%

Most likely scores

1-114%2-19%1-08%0-08%2-07%

Expected goals per the model: Everton 1.66 · Coventry 1.20

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals16%1 goals23%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals16%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.86.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.6 in total · Everton 4.8 · Coventry 4.8

58%Over 8.5@1.73
47%Over 9.5@2.11
38%Over 10.5@2.66
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.7 · referee Stuart Attwell shows 6.2 per match

64%Over 3.5@1.55
48%Over 4.5@2.09
33%Over 5.5@3.02

⏱️ First half

27% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.78

54%Goal in the 1st half@1.85
18%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@5.48
88%Goal in the 2st half@1.14

⚽ Goals per team

49%Everton +1.5@2.02
34%Coventry +1.5@2.96
22%Everton to win to nil@4.48

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

2.24Expected goals (xG)1.42
7Shots on target4
3Saves4
1Offsides0
16Shots15
1Yellow cards1
2Corners2
9Fouls6
0Red cards0
49Possession %51

Goals in the last 10 matches

Everton · last 10 matches
3/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.2goals per match
2.5vs Crystal Palace: 2-0 2-0 en Bournemouth: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Manchester United: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Tottenham: 0-0 0-0 vs Ipswich: 1-0 1-0 en Hull City: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Chelsea: 0-2 0-2 en Arsenal: 0-2 0-2 en Newcastle: 1-0 1-0 vs Coventry: 3-1 3-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Coventry · last 10 matches
6/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.9goals per match
2.5en Arsenal: 0-3 0-3 vs Hull City: 0-1 0-1 en Manchester City: 0-1 0-1 vs Brighton: 0-5 0-5 en Nottingham Forest: 1-0 1-0 vs Newcastle: 4-1 4-1 ambosen Tottenham: 1-3 1-3 ambosvs Fulham: 0-1 0-1 vs Sunderland: 3-1 3-1 ambosat Everton: 1-3 1-3 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

EvertonCoventry
1.0Goals scored per match1.0
1.0Goals conceded per match1.8
67%Matches with over 1.5 goals56%
22%Matches with over 2.5 goals56%
33%Both teams to score33%
44%Clean sheet11%
33%Matches without scoring56%
4.9Corners won per match3.8
1.9Yellow cards per match1.1

Everton: 9 matches · Coventry: 9 matches (all competitions with data).

Everton at home · Coventry away

Everton at home
2G1E1P
LWDWL
Coventry away
1G0E3P
LWLLW

When do they score and concede?

Everton · goals by minute in 9 matches scored conceded
110-150016-301131-453346-601261-753276-90
Coventry · goals by minute in 9 matches scored conceded
120-151216-301131-454346-600361-752576-90

The first goal

Everton

Scores first in 3 of 8 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 3.

Coventry

Scores first in 3 of 9 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Everton

Thierno Barry · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

K. Dewsbury-Hall · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

A. Maitland-Niles · 0 goles, 1 assists in 3 matches

Coventry

Jack Rudoni · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

J. Dasilva · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Brandon Thomas-Asante · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

0Everton to win
0Draws
1Coventry to win

1 matches · 3.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2024-07-30Coventry 3-0 EvertonFriendlies Clubs

Standings

Premier League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal10+1027
2Brighton10+1922
3Manchester City10+821
4Liverpool10+418
5Chelsea10+316
6Everton10+216
7Bournemouth10+215
8Brentford10+514
9Leeds10+214
10Aston Villa10-313
11Tottenham10-112
12Newcastle10-312
13Hull City10011
14Ipswich10-511
15Fulham10-210
16Nottingham Forest10-49
17Coventry10-99
18Manchester United10-58
19Sunderland10-98
20Crystal Palace10-147

More stats

Referee: Stuart Attwell

6 matches · 5.8 yellows and 0.40 reds per match · 0.20 penalties

Half-time

Everton: 4 days since last match · Coventry: 6 days

Everton absences

T. George, J. Grealish

Coventry absences

A. Amenda, H. Wright, J. Eccles, B. Thomas, L. Woolfenden

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-06 22:30 UTC.

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