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Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction

Spain · La Liga
Espanyol badgeEspanyol#13 · 12 ptsWLLDL
0 - 0Full time
Deportivo La Coruna badgeDeportivo La Coruna#9 · 15 ptsWLDLD

Pre-match probabilities

Saturday, November 7 · 10:15 (Peru time) · RCDE Stadium · Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Espanyol or draw

75%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

89'🟨 Gabriel MoscardoEspanyol
89'🟨 Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo La Coruna
89'🔁 Sub: Lorenzo Amatucci · Riki RodríguezDeportivo La Coruna
87'🔁 Sub: Alejandro Santiago Vargas · Vanja DrkusicEspanyol
82'🟨 Lorenzo AmatucciDeportivo La Coruna
81'🟨 Diego VillaresDeportivo La Coruna
78'🔁 Sub: Pere Milla · Marcos FernándezEspanyol
78'🔁 Sub: Tyrhys Dolan · Bryan ZaragozaEspanyol
78'🔁 Sub: Eduardo Expósito Jaén · Gabriel MoscardoEspanyol
77'🟨 Alejandro Santiago VargasEspanyol
73'🟨 Leandro CabreraEspanyol
72'🔁 Sub: Mario Soriano · Marc CasadóDeportivo La Coruna
63'🔁 Sub: Álex Calatrava Torrado · Francisco Javier Hernandez CoarasaEspanyol
61'🔁 Sub: David Mella · Adama TraoréDeportivo La Coruna
45'🔁 Sub: Luismi Cruz · Diego VillaresDeportivo La Coruna
45'🔁 Sub: Yeremay Hernández · Pierre-Emerick AubameyangDeportivo La Coruna
44'🟨 Roberto Fernández JaénEspanyol
39'🟨 Luismi CruzDeportivo La Coruna

Win probability minute by minute

EspanyolDrawDeportivo La Coruna
At kick-off41%34%25%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% 0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

41%Espanyol to win@2.42
34%Draw@2.98
25%Deportivo La Coruna to win@3.97
Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Both teams to score53%
Espanyol or draw75%
Deportivo La Coruna or draw59%
Espanyol to score75%
Deportivo La Coruna to score65%

Most likely scores

1-115%0-012%1-010%2-18%2-08%

Expected goals per the model: Espanyol 1.40 · Deportivo La Coruna 1.06

How many goals will there be?

9%0 goals21%1 goals26%2 goals21%3 goals13%4 goals10%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.46.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.4 in total · Espanyol 3.7 · Deportivo La Coruna 5.6

55%Over 8.5@1.81
45%Over 9.5@2.23
35%Over 10.5@2.84
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 5.4 · el árbitro Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez saca 5.6 por partido

75%Over 3.5@1.34
60%Over 4.5@1.67
45%Over 5.5@2.23

⏱️ First half

45% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.10

67%Goal in the 1st half@1.50
30%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.32
74%Goal in the 2st half@1.35

⚽ Goals per team

41%Espanyol +1.5@2.45
29%Deportivo La Coruna +1.5@3.49
23%Espanyol to win to nil@4.29

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

4Shots on target1
1Saves4
11Shots5
4Yellow cards4
9Corners5
17Fouls10
0Red cards0
64Possession %36
0.72Expected goals (xG)0.32

Goals in the last 10 matches

Espanyol · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.5goals per match
2.5vs Sevilla: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Osasuna: 2-0 2-0 en Rayo Vallecano: 1-2 1-2 ambosvs Elche: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Málaga: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Atlético Madrid: 0-1 0-1 en Racing Santander: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Sestao River: 3-4 3-4 ambosen Villarreal: 1-0 1-0 vs Deportivo La Coruna: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Deportivo La Coruna · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score2.4goals per match
2.5en Villarreal: 3-2 3-2 ambosen Getafe: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Sevilla: 0-1 0-1 vs Real Betis: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Real Sociedad: 2-3 2-3 ambosvs Levante: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Atlético Madrid: 0-1 0-1 en Auriense: 3-0 3-0 vs Osasuna: 2-1 2-1 ambosat Espanyol: 0-0 0-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

EspanyolDeportivo La Coruna
1.2Goals scored per match1.4
1.3Goals conceded per match1.3
82%Matches with over 1.5 goals82%
55%Matches with over 2.5 goals36%
64%Both teams to score82%
27%Clean sheet0%
9%Matches without scoring18%
2.5Corners won per match5.4
3.1Yellow cards per match1.8

Espanyol: 11 matches · Deportivo La Coruna: 11 matches (all competitions with data).

Espanyol at home · Deportivo La Coruna away

Espanyol at home
1G1E3P
LLDLW
Deportivo La Coruna away
1G2E2P
LLDWD

When do they score and concede?

Espanyol · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded
330-152316-302031-452046-602261-752676-90
Deportivo La Coruna · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded
100-153316-301431-451346-604161-755376-90

The first goal

Espanyol

Scores first in 5 of 11 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 1.

Deportivo La Coruna

Scores first in 4 of 11 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 4.

Players in form

Espanyol

Bryan Zaragoza · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

J. Hernandez · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Leandro Cabrera · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Deportivo La Coruna

Mario Soriano · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Bil Nsongo · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

D. Villares · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches

Head to head

4Espanyol to win
4Draws
2Deportivo La Coruna to win

10 matches · 1.8 goals per match

Recent meetings
2018-02-23Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 EspanyolLa Liga
2017-09-24Espanyol 4-1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
2017-05-07Deportivo La Coruna 1-2 EspanyolLa Liga
2017-01-06Espanyol 1-1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
2016-02-20Espanyol 1-0 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
2015-09-27Deportivo La Coruna 3-0 EspanyolLa Liga

Standings

La Liga standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona12+3533
2Real Madrid12+2130
3Atlético Madrid12+1328
4Real Betis12+526
5Real Sociedad12+122
6Sevilla12-218
7Athletic Club11+416
8Villarreal12+215
9Deportivo La Coruna12+115
10Racing Santander12-1314
11Celta Vigo12013
12Alavés12-213
13Espanyol12-112
14Rayo Vallecano11-612
15Getafe12-1012
16Osasuna12-1112
17Levante12-511
18Elche12-610
19Valencia12-129
20Málaga12-145

More stats

Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

15 matches · 4.4 yellows and 1.20 reds per match · 0.80 penalties

Half-time

Espanyol: 7 days since last match · Deportivo La Coruna: 4 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:50 UTC.

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