Home › International · International friendlies › España sub-21 vs Japón sub-21

Spain U21 vs Japan U21 prediction

International · International friendlies

Spain U21W

13:00Fri Nov 13

Japan U21WWLL

41%28%31%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 13:00 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Spain U21 to score

75%

Partial data

⚡ Summary

41%Spain U21 to win@2.46 49%Over 2.5 goals@2.03 54%Both teams to score@1.85 1-1Most likely score · 13%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Spain U21 and Japan U21 meet in the International friendlies.

The PickMania model gives Spain U21 a 41% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 31% for Japan U21.

2.7 total goals are expected (1.5 from Spain U21 and 1.2 from Japan U21): over 2.5 goals has a 49% chance and both teams to score 54%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

41%Spain U21 to win@2.46

28%Draw@3.53

31%Japan U21 to win@3.23

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals49%

Over 3.5 goals29%

Both teams to score54%

Spain U21 or draw69%

Japan U21 or draw59%

Spain U21 to score75%

Japan U21 to score70%

Most likely scores

1-113%1-09%0-09%2-18%0-18%

Expected goals per the model: Spain U21 1.46 · Japan U21 1.24

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.70.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

43%España sub-21 +1.5@2.33

35%Japón sub-21 +1.5@2.84

21%Spain U21 to win to nil@4.75

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Japan U21 · last 4 matches

2/4+2.5 goals1/4both teams to score2.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Spain U21Japan U21

0.0Goals scored per match1.3

0.0Goals conceded per match1.0

0%Matches with over 1.5 goals75%

0%Matches with over 2.5 goals50%

0%Both teams to score25%

0%Clean sheet50%

0%Matches without scoring25%

Spain U21: 0 matches · Japan U21: 4 matches (all competitions with data).

Spain U21 at home · Japan U21 away

Spain U21 at home

0G0E0P

Japan U21 away

1G0E1P

When do they score and concede?

Japan U21 · goals by minute in 2 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Japan U21

Scores first in 1 of 2 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Spain U21

Sin datos

Japan U21

S. Nwadike Uchebrian · 2 goles, 0 assists in 1 matches

R. Umeki · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

H. Ishii · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

More stats

Half-time

Spain U21: – days since last match · Japan U21: 158 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.