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Scotland vs FYR Macedonia prediction

International · UEFA Nations League

Scotland#3 · 4 ptsLWLDW

14:45Fri Nov 13

FYR Macedonia#4 · 0 ptsLLLLL

80%14%6%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 14:45 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Scotland to win

80%

Partial data

FYR Macedonia in poor form: 5 defeats in their last 5
Adams is on fire: 2 goals in his last 1 matches

⚡ Summary

80%Scotland to win@1.24 56%Over 2.5 goals@1.80 33%Both teams to score@3.01 41%Corners +9.5 (9.0)@2.4527%Cards +4.5 (3.4)@3.732-0Most likely score · 16%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Scotland and FYR Macedonia meet in the UEFA Nations League.

The PickMania model gives Scotland a 80% chance of winning, 14% for the draw and 6% for FYR Macedonia.

2.9 total goals are expected (2.5 from Scotland and 0.5 from FYR Macedonia): over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance and both teams to score 33%.

The most likely score is 2-0.

Probabilities

80%Scotland to win@1.24

14%Draw@7.21

6%FYR Macedonia to win@17.24

Over 1.5 goals78%

Over 2.5 goals56%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Both teams to score33%

Scotland or draw94%

FYR Macedonia or draw20%

Scotland to score91%

FYR Macedonia to score38%

Most likely scores

2-016%1-013%3-013%4-08%2-17%

Expected goals per the model: Scotland 2.45 · FYR Macedonia 0.49

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.94.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.0 in total · Scotland 6.1 · FYR Macedonia 2.8

51%Over 8.5@1.95

41%Over 9.5@2.45

32%Over 10.5@3.17

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.4

43%Over 3.5@2.35

27%Over 4.5@3.73

16%Over 5.5@6.40

⏱️ First half

48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.40

75%Goal in the 1st half@1.33

41%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.44

78%Goal in the 2st half@1.27

⚽ Goals per team

70%Escocia +1.5@1.42

9%FYR Macedonia +1.5@11.47

56%Scotland to win to nil@1.79

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Scotland · last 8 matches

4/8+2.5 goals2/8both teams to score2.4goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

FYR Macedonia · last 8 matches

3/8+2.5 goals0/8both teams to score1.8goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

ScotlandFYR Macedonia

1.4Goals scored per match0.0

1.0Goals conceded per match2.0

63%Matches with over 1.5 goals71%

50%Matches with over 2.5 goals43%

25%Both teams to score0%

38%Clean sheet29%

50%Matches without scoring100%

5.0Corners won per match1.4

1.0Yellow cards per match2.1

Scotland: 8 matches · FYR Macedonia: 7 matches (all competitions with data).

Scotland at home · FYR Macedonia away

Scotland at home

1G0E4P

LLWLL

FYR Macedonia away

0G2E3P

LLLDD

When do they score and concede?

Scotland · goals by minute in 8 matches scored conceded

FYR Macedonia · goals by minute in 7 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Scotland

Scores first in 3 of 7 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 1.

FYR Macedonia

Scores first in 0 of 5 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

Scotland

Che Adams · 2 goles, 0 assists in 1 matches

Lawrence Shankland · 1 gol, 1 assists in 1 matches

Scott McTominay · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

FYR Macedonia

Sin datos

Head to head

1Scotland to win

0Draws

0FYR Macedonia to win

1 matches · 2.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-10-03	FYR Macedonia 0-2 Scotland	UEFA Nations League

Standings

UEFA Nations League standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	4	+10	12
2	Slovenia	4	+2	7
3	Scotland	4	-2	4
4	FYR Macedonia	4	-10	0

More stats

Half-time

Scotland: 38 days since last match · FYR Macedonia: 38 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.