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Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs Kryvbas KR prediction

Ukraine · Premier League
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi badgeEpitsentr Dunayivtsi#9 · 10 ptsLLDLL
1 - 1Full time
Kryvbas KR badgeKryvbas KR#16 · 7 ptsLDLLD

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Assan Seck 54'⚽ Vadym Sydun 68'

Saturday, November 7 · 06:00 (Peru time) · Roman Shukhevych Ternopil city stadium · Referee: Mykhailo Mykhailovych Raida

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

74%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+2🟨 Vadym SydunEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
85'🟨 Dmytro GodyaKryvbas KR
84'🔁 Sub: Giovany Herbert · Yackson Stiven RivasKryvbas KR
84'🔁 Sub: Assan Seck · Cyprian KachweleKryvbas KR
82'🔁 Sub: Igor Kyryukhantsev · Raúl Tavares PulidoEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
79'🔁 Sub: Roy Ben Navi · Dmytro GodyaKryvbas KR
79'🔁 Sub: Bar Lin · Oleksandr KamenskyiKryvbas KR
79'🔁 Sub: M. Evpak · Ivan BenderaEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
68'⚽ Vadym Sydun assist Andriy LipovuzEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
64'🔁 Sub: Daniil Vashchenko · Jon CeberioEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
64'🔁 Sub: Artem Kozak · Kyrylo KovaletsEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
54'⚽ Assan Seck assist Yaroslav ShevchenkoKryvbas KR

Win probability minute by minute

Epitsentr DunayivtsiDrawKryvbas KR
At kick-off32%35%33%Full time0%100%0%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

32%Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to win@3.10
35%Draw@2.87
33%Kryvbas KR to win@3.04
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score57%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi or draw67%
Kryvbas KR or draw68%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to score73%
Kryvbas KR to score73%

Most likely scores

1-116%0-011%0-18%1-08%1-27%

Expected goals per the model: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1.30 · Kryvbas KR 1.31

How many goals will there be?

7%0 goals19%1 goals25%2 goals22%3 goals14%4 goals12%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.61.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.1 in total · Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 5.5 · Kryvbas KR 4.6

62%Over 8.5@1.61
52%Over 9.5@1.92
42%Over 10.5@2.37
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.0

54%Over 3.5@1.86
37%Over 4.5@2.70
24%Over 5.5@4.25

⏱️ First half

39% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.01

64%Goal in the 1st half@1.57
27%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.73
80%Goal in the 2st half@1.25

⚽ Goals per team

37%Epitsentr Dunayivtsi +1.5@2.68
38%Kryvbas KR +1.5@2.65
16%Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to win to nil@6.07

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

5Corners5
0Red cards0
48Possession %52
5Shots on target5
1Yellow cards1
8Shots14

Goals in the last 10 matches

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.2goals per match
2.5vs Veres Rivne: 0-0 0-0 en Kudrivka: 3-0 3-0 vs Bukovyna: 0-0 0-0 en Dynamo Kyiv: 0-3 0-3 vs Livyi Bereh: 0-2 0-2 en Kolos Kovalivka: 1-3 1-3 ambosen Karpaty: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs FC Kharkiv: 1-2 1-2 ambosen Zorya Luhansk: 0-1 0-1 vs Kryvbas KR: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Kryvbas KR · last 10 matches
4/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.4goals per match
2.5vs Karpaty: 1-4 1-4 ambosen Zorya Luhansk: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Livyi Bereh: 1-1 1-1 ambosen Chornomorets: 0-1 0-1 vs Kolos Kovalivka: 2-2 2-2 ambosen Polessya: 0-1 0-1 vs LNZ Cherkasy: 0-3 0-3 en Bukovyna: 0-0 0-0 vs Dynamo Kyiv: 0-2 0-2 at Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: 1-1 1-1 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Epitsentr DunayivtsiKryvbas KR
0.9Goals scored per match0.8
1.4Goals conceded per match1.7
73%Matches with over 1.5 goals67%
55%Matches with over 2.5 goals44%
27%Both teams to score44%
36%Clean sheet11%
55%Matches without scoring56%
4.8Corners won per match4.0
2.0Yellow cards per match1.9

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: 11 matches · Kryvbas KR: 9 matches (all competitions with data).

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at home · Kryvbas KR away

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at home
1G2E3P
LLDDL
Kryvbas KR away
1G1E2P
DLLWD

When do they score and concede?

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi · goals by minute in 11 matches scored conceded
100-150216-303231-451446-603161-752676-90
Kryvbas KR · goals by minute in 9 matches scored conceded
020-153216-300331-451146-603461-750376-90

The first goal

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Scores first in 3 of 9 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 0.

Kryvbas KR

Scores first in 3 of 8 matches and wins 0 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

A. Kozak · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

C. Rojas · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

M. Myronyuk · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches

Kryvbas KR

Y. Shevchenko Volodymyrovych · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

V. Vilivald · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

G. Herbert · 0 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

0Epitsentr Dunayivtsi to win
0Draws
2Kryvbas KR to win

2 matches · 6.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-03-21Kryvbas KR 2-1 Epitsentr DunayivtsiPremier League
2025-09-21Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 4-5 Kryvbas KRPremier League

Standings

Premier League standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk12+1729
2Polessya11+1728
3Dynamo Kyiv11+723
4FC Kharkiv9+1121
5Karpaty11+1419
6LNZ Cherkasy11+218
7Zorya Luhansk12-118
8Kolos Kovalivka10-112
9Epitsentr Dunayivtsi12-510
10Bukovyna11-510
11Chornomorets11-59
12Livyi Bereh10-29
13Veres Rivne12-119
14Obolon'-Brovar11-138
15Kudrivka12-178
16Kryvbas KR10-87

More stats

Half-time

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi: 5 days since last match · Kryvbas KR: 5 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 13:30 UTC.

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