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England U21 vs Portugal U21 prediction

International · International friendlies
14:30Fri Nov 13

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 14:30 (Peru time) · Ashton Gate Stadium

Picky
🎯 Model pick

England U21 to score

74%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

England U21 and Portugal U21 meet in the International friendlies.

The PickMania model gives England U21 a 38% chance of winning, 28% for the draw and 34% for Portugal U21.

2.8 total goals are expected (1.5 from England U21 and 1.4 from Portugal U21): over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance and both teams to score 56%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

38%England U21 to win@2.64
28%Draw@3.55
34%Portugal U21 to win@2.94
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams to score56%
England U21 or draw66%
Portugal U21 or draw62%
England U21 to score74%
Portugal U21 to score72%

Most likely scores

1-112%0-09%1-09%0-18%2-17%

Expected goals per the model: England U21 1.47 · Portugal U21 1.38

How many goals will there be?

6%0 goals16%1 goals23%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals16%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.85.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

43%Inglaterra sub-21 +1.5@2.31
40%Portugal sub-21 +1.5@2.49
18%England U21 to win to nil@5.41

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Season comparison

England U21Portugal U21
0.0Goals scored per match4.0
0.0Goals conceded per match0.0
0%Matches with over 1.5 goals100%
0%Matches with over 2.5 goals100%
0%Both teams to score0%
0%Clean sheet100%
0%Matches without scoring0%

England U21: 0 matches · Portugal U21: 1 matches (all competitions with data).

England U21 at home · Portugal U21 away

England U21 at home
0G0E0P
Portugal U21 away
0G0E0P

When do they score and concede?

Portugal U21 · goals by minute in 1 matches scored conceded
100-150016-301031-450046-601061-751076-90

The first goal

Portugal U21

Scores first in 1 of 1 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 0 and avoids defeat in 0.

Players in form

England U21

Sin datos

Portugal U21

G. Quenda · 2 goles, 0 assists in 1 matches

G. Sa · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Head to head

1England U21 to win
0Draws
1Portugal U21 to win

2 matches · 1.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2023-07-02England U21 1-0 Portugal U21UEFA U21 Championship
2021-03-28Portugal U21 2-0 England U21UEFA U21 Championship

More stats

Half-time

England U21: – days since last match · Portugal U21: 163 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.

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