PickManiaAI predictions

Home › International · International friendlies › Inglaterra sub-18 vs Países Bajos sub-18

England U18 vs Netherlands U18 prediction

International · International friendlies
09:00Wed Nov 11

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Wednesday, November 11 · 09:00 (Peru time)

Picky
🎯 Model pick

England U18 to score

82%
Partial data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

England U18 and Netherlands U18 meet in the International friendlies.

The PickMania model gives England U18 a 46% chance of winning, 31% for the draw and 23% for Netherlands U18.

2.9 total goals are expected (1.7 from England U18 and 1.2 from Netherlands U18): over 2.5 goals has a 55% chance and both teams to score 60%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

46%England U18 to win@2.18
31%Draw@3.24
23%Netherlands U18 to win@4.31
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Both teams to score60%
England U18 or draw77%
Netherlands U18 or draw54%
England U18 to score82%
Netherlands U18 to score71%

Most likely scores

1-114%2-19%1-08%0-08%2-07%

Expected goals per the model: England U18 1.71 · Netherlands U18 1.23

How many goals will there be?

5%0 goals16%1 goals23%2 goals22%3 goals16%4 goals17%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.94.

Corners, cards and first half

⏱️ First half

42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.22

71%Goal in the 1st half@1.42
35%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.89
82%Goal in the 2st half@1.22

⚽ Goals per team

51%Inglaterra sub-18 +1.5@1.96
35%Países Bajos sub-18 +1.5@2.87
21%England U18 to win to nil@4.65

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

England U18 · last 4 matches
3/4+2.5 goals3/4both teams to score3.8goals per match
2.5en Grecia sub-19: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Chipre sub-19: 6-1 6-1 ambosen Corea del Sur sub-18: 2-1 2-1 ambosvs España sub-18: 0-2 0-2

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Netherlands U18 · last 5 matches
4/5+2.5 goals4/5both teams to score3.0goals per match
2.5vs Alemania sub-18: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Noruega sub-19: 2-2 2-2 ambosvs Noruega sub-18: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Irlanda sub-18: 1-0 1-0 en Estados Unidos sub-18: 2-2 2-2 ambos

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

England U18Netherlands U18
2.5Goals scored per match1.7
1.3Goals conceded per match1.0
100%Matches with over 1.5 goals67%
75%Matches with over 2.5 goals67%
75%Both teams to score67%
0%Clean sheet33%
25%Matches without scoring0%

England U18: 4 matches · Netherlands U18: 3 matches (all competitions with data).

England U18 at home · Netherlands U18 away

England U18 at home
0G0E1P
L
Netherlands U18 away
1G1E0P
DWD

When do they score and concede?

England U18 · goals by minute in 4 matches scored conceded
000-153016-300231-451046-601161-755276-90
Netherlands U18 · goals by minute in 3 matches scored conceded
000-152016-301131-450246-601061-751076-90

The first goal

England U18

Scores first in 3 of 4 matches and wins 3 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 0.

Netherlands U18

Scores first in 2 of 3 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 1.

Players in form

England U18

J. Monga · 2 goles, 0 assists in 2 matches

A. Alabi · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

R. Kavuma McQueen · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Netherlands U18

J. Simeon · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

L. de Baat · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

T. Bens · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

Head to head

1England U18 to win
0Draws
0Netherlands U18 to win

1 matches · 3.0 goals per match

Recent meetings
2024-03-25Netherlands U18 1-2 England U18Friendlies

More stats

Half-time

England U18: 38 days since last match · Netherlands U18: 36 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.

Get the AI Top Picks in your inbox

Every morning, the day's picks with their data. Free, and you can unsubscribe any time.