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Elche vs Real Betis prediction

Spain · La Liga
Elche badgeElche#18 · 10 ptsLWWDD
0 - 2Full time
Real Betis badgeReal Betis#4 · 26 ptsLWDWL

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Rodrigo Riquelme 81'⚽ Marc Bartra 89'

Sunday, November 8 · 08:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero · Referee: Cesar Soto Grado

Picky
🎯 Model pick

Real Betis to score

85%
Full data

⚡ Summary

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

89'⚽ Marc Bartra assist Dani CeballosReal Betis
84'🟨 Javier Morcillo RodrigálvarezElche
83'🔁 Sub: Isco · Nelson DeossaReal Betis
82'🟨 Martim NetoElche
81'⚽ Rodrigo RiquelmeReal Betis
78'🔁 Sub: Abde Ezzalzouli · Rodrigo RiquelmeReal Betis
78'🔁 Sub: Troy Parrott · José Antonio Morante AntúnezReal Betis
77'🔁 Sub: Roy Revivo · Pedro BigasElche
70'🔁 Sub: Lucas Cepeda · Facundo BuonanotteElche
69'🔁 Sub: Pablo Fornals · Dani CeballosReal Betis
69'🔁 Sub: Antony Matheus dos Santos · Aitor RuibalReal Betis
69'🔁 Sub: Germán Valera · Tete MorenteElche
69'🔁 Sub: Fernando Niño Rodríguez · Abiel Alessio OsorioElche
68'🟨 Grady DianganaElche
59'🟨 Federico Redondo SolariElche
58'🟨 Martin AnselmiElche
45'🔁 Sub: Ali Houary · Grady DianganaElche

Win probability minute by minute

ElcheDrawReal Betis
At kick-off21%29%50%Full time0%0%100%
0%25%50%75%100% ⚽⚽0'45'90'

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

21%Elche to win@4.71
29%Draw@3.43
50%Real Betis to win@2.02
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams to score63%
Elche or draw50%
Real Betis or draw79%
Elche to score71%
Real Betis to score85%

Most likely scores

1-113%1-29%0-27%0-17%2-27%

Expected goals per the model: Elche 1.24 · Real Betis 1.90

How many goals will there be?

4%0 goals14%1 goals21%2 goals22%3 goals18%4 goals21%5+ goals

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.14.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 9.5 in total · Elche 4.8 · Real Betis 4.7

56%Over 8.5@1.77
46%Over 9.5@2.17
36%Over 10.5@2.75
45678910111213141516+

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.7

65%Over 3.5@1.53
49%Over 4.5@2.05
34%Over 5.5@2.95

⏱️ First half

42% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.33

74%Goal in the 1st half@1.36
38%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.60
84%Goal in the 2st half@1.20

⚽ Goals per team

35%Elche +1.5@2.84
57%Real Betis +1.5@1.77
9%Elche to win to nil@11.51

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.25Expected goals (xG)1.95
1Shots on target9
7Saves1
4Offsides3
13Shots17
4Yellow cards0
9Corners8
12Fouls7
0Red cards0
48Possession %52

Goals in the last 10 matches

Elche · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.6goals per match
2.5vs Real Sociedad: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Athletic Club: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Real Madrid: 2-3 2-3 ambosen Espanyol: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Celta Vigo: 0-0 0-0 en Villarreal: 0-0 0-0 en Rayo Vallecano: 3-0 3-0 en Pinatar: 3-1 3-1 ambosvs Valencia: 0-1 0-1 vs Real Betis: 0-2 0-2

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Real Betis · last 10 matches
5/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score3.1goals per match
2.5vs Getafe: 1-0 1-0 en Deportivo La Coruna: 1-1 1-1 ambosvs Osasuna: 5-2 5-2 ambosvs FC Porto: 3-2 3-2 ambosvs Barcelona: 2-5 2-5 ambosvs Feyenoord: 1-0 1-0 en Celta Vigo: 0-0 0-0 vs Málaga: 2-1 2-1 ambosen Borussia Dortmund: 1-2 1-2 ambosat Elche: 2-0 2-0

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

ElcheReal Betis
1.4Goals scored per match1.7
1.6Goals conceded per match1.4
75%Matches with over 1.5 goals60%
58%Matches with over 2.5 goals53%
58%Both teams to score60%
25%Clean sheet40%
33%Matches without scoring7%
4.5Corners won per match5.1
2.5Yellow cards per match2.0

Elche: 12 matches · Real Betis: 15 matches (all competitions with data).

Elche at home · Real Betis away

Elche at home
0G1E4P
LDLLL
Real Betis away
3G2E2P
LDDWW

When do they score and concede?

Elche · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded
030-153416-302431-452046-604461-756476-90
Real Betis · goals by minute in 15 matches scored conceded
120-151216-3010331-456646-604561-754376-90

The first goal

Elche

Scores first in 3 of 10 matches and wins 2 of them.

Concedes first in 7 and avoids defeat in 2.

Real Betis

Scores first in 9 of 14 matches and wins 8 of them.

Concedes first in 5 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Elche

E. Ponce · 2 goles, 0 assists in 1 matches

A. Houary · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches

F. Redondo Solari · 1 gol, 0 assists in 3 matches

Real Betis

Isco · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

Pablo Fornals · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

Abde Ezzalzouli · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

1Elche to win
3Draws
6Real Betis to win

10 matches · 2.6 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-12Real Betis 2-1 ElcheLa Liga
2026-01-14Real Betis 2-1 ElcheCopa del Rey
2025-08-18Elche 1-1 Real BetisLa Liga
2023-02-24Elche 2-3 Real BetisLa Liga
2022-08-15Real Betis 3-0 ElcheLa Liga
2022-04-19Real Betis 0-1 ElcheLa Liga

Standings

La Liga standings
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona12+3533
2Real Madrid12+2130
3Atlético Madrid12+1328
4Real Betis12+526
5Real Sociedad12+122
6Sevilla12-218
7Athletic Club11+416
8Villarreal12+215
9Deportivo La Coruna12+115
10Racing Santander12-1314
11Celta Vigo12013
12Alavés12-213
13Espanyol12-112
14Rayo Vallecano11-612
15Getafe12-1012
16Osasuna12-1112
17Levante12-511
18Elche12-610
19Valencia12-129
20Málaga12-145

More stats

Half-time

Elche: 6 days since last match · Real Betis: 3 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 15:30 UTC.

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