Home › Scotland · Premiership › Dundee Utd vs Motherwell
Dundee Utd vs Motherwell prediction
Scotland · Premiership
Dundee Utd
MotherwellPre-match probabilities
Saturday, November 7 · 10:00 (Peru time) · CalForth Construction Arena
Dundee Utd to score
84%- Dundee Utd scored in 8 of 11 matches this season
- Dundee Utd average 1.4 goals per match
- Motherwell concede 1.6 goals per match
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Dundee Utd 1.86 · Motherwell 1.29
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.15.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 11.3 in total · Dundee Utd 5.8 · Motherwell 5.6
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.2
⏱️ First half
55% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.74
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Match stats
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Dundee Utd: 11 matches · Motherwell: 18 matches (all competitions with data).
Dundee Utd at home · Motherwell away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 5 of 11 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 9 of 17 matches and wins 6 of them.
Concedes first in 8 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
Lyall Cameron · 2 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Dylan Tait · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
J. Randall · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
A. Lowry · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches
Lukas Fadinger · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
Ibrahim Said · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.9 goals per match
| 2026-09-02 | Motherwell 3-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| 2026-02-28 | Motherwell 2-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| 2025-12-13 | Dundee Utd 0-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
| 2025-10-29 | Motherwell 2-0 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
| 2025-02-22 | Dundee Utd 1-0 Motherwell | Premiership |
| 2024-12-14 | Motherwell 4-3 Dundee Utd | Premiership |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 13 | +18 | 31 |
| 2 | Rangers | 12 | +12 | 27 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 13 | +6 | 21 |
| 4 | Heart Of Midlothian | 12 | +4 | 20 |
| 5 | Dundee | 12 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 13 | -3 | 17 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 13 | -10 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell | 13 | -6 | 13 |
| 10 | Hibernian | 12 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 12 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 13 | -16 | 9 |
More stats
Dundee Utd: 9 days since last match · Motherwell: 7 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 17:30 UTC.