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Dijon vs Orleans prediction

France · Coupe de France

DijonWWLLW

14:00Fri Nov 13

OrleansLWWW

71%19%10%

Probabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo

Friday, November 13 · 14:00 (Peru time)

🎯 Model pick

Over 1.5 goals

80%

Partial data

2+ goals in 10 of 12 Dijon matches
Head to head: 2.8 goals per match
Picky expects 3.2 goals (2.4 - 0.8)

⚡ Summary

71%Dijon to win@1.41 59%Over 2.5 goals@1.70 49%Both teams to score@2.02 2-0Most likely score · 11%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Dijon and Orleans meet in the Coupe de France.

The PickMania model gives Dijon a 71% chance of winning, 19% for the draw and 10% for Orleans.

3.2 total goals are expected (2.4 from Dijon and 0.8 from Orleans): over 2.5 goals has a 59% chance and both teams to score 49%.

The most likely score is 2-0.

Probabilities

71%Dijon to win@1.41

19%Draw@5.22

10%Orleans to win@9.86

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals59%

Over 3.5 goals39%

Both teams to score49%

Dijon or draw90%

Orleans or draw29%

Dijon to score89%

Orleans to score54%

Most likely scores

2-011%1-011%2-18%1-18%3-08%

Expected goals per the model: Dijon 2.40 · Orleans 0.81

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.21.

Corners, cards and first half

⚽ Goals per team

69%Dijon +1.5@1.45

19%Orleans +1.5@5.13

39%Dijon to win to nil@2.55

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Dijon · last 10 matches

7/10+2.5 goals9/10both teams to score3.7goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Orleans · last 4 matches

4/4+2.5 goals2/4both teams to score3.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

DijonOrleans

1.8Goals scored per match0.0

1.6Goals conceded per match0.0

83%Matches with over 1.5 goals0%

58%Matches with over 2.5 goals0%

83%Both teams to score0%

8%Clean sheet0%

8%Matches without scoring0%

Dijon: 12 matches · Orleans: 0 matches (all competitions with data).

Dijon at home · Orleans away

Dijon at home

3G0E3P

WLWWL

Orleans away

0G0E0P

When do they score and concede?

Dijon · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Dijon

Scores first in 6 of 12 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 3.

Players in form

Dijon

Yanis Barka · 4 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches

Júlio Tavares · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

E. Lago · 1 gol, 1 assists in 3 matches

Orleans

Sin datos

Head to head

6Dijon to win

2Draws

0Orleans to win

8 matches · 2.8 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-15	Dijon 3-2 Orleans	Ligue 3
2025-08-08	Orleans 1-2 Dijon	Ligue 3
2025-03-07	Dijon 2-2 Orleans	Ligue 3
2024-10-04	Orleans 1-1 Dijon	Ligue 3
2024-04-12	Dijon 1-0 Orleans	Ligue 3
2023-11-10	Orleans 1-2 Dijon	Ligue 3

More stats

Half-time

Dijon: 7 days since last match · Orleans: 307 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 06:47 UTC.