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Deportivo Pereira vs América de Cali prediction

Colombia · Primera A

Deportivo Pereira#20 · 10 ptsLLWDW

15:30Sat Nov 14

América de Cali#4 · 33 ptsDDWWD

21%27%52%

Probability of each result according to the model

Saturday, November 14 · 15:30 (Peru time) · Santiago de las Atalayas

🎯 Model pick

América de Cali to score

80%

Full data

América de Cali scored in 35 of 46 matches this season
América de Cali average 1.4 goals per match
Deportivo Pereira concede 1.6 goals per match

⚡ Summary

52%América de Cali to win@1.92 48%Over 2.5 goals@2.10 53%Both teams to score@1.87 37%Corners +9.5 (8.6)@2.7168%Cards +4.5 (6.0)@1.481-1Most likely score · 12%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

📝 Preview

Deportivo Pereira and América de Cali meet in the Primera A.

The PickMania model gives Deportivo Pereira a 21% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 52% for América de Cali.

2.6 total goals are expected (1.0 from Deportivo Pereira and 1.6 from América de Cali): over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance and both teams to score 53%.

The most likely score is 1-1.

Probabilities

21%Deportivo Pereira to win@4.73

27%Draw@3.72

52%América de Cali to win@1.92

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals27%

Both teams to score53%

Deportivo Pereira or draw48%

América de Cali or draw79%

Deportivo Pereira to score61%

América de Cali to score80%

Most likely scores

1-112%0-112%0-210%1-29%0-09%

Expected goals per the model: Deportivo Pereira 0.96 · América de Cali 1.64

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.60.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 8.6 in total · Deportivo Pereira 3.5 · América de Cali 5.1

47%Over 8.5@2.12

37%Over 9.5@2.71

28%Over 10.5@3.57

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 6.0

81%Over 3.5@1.24

68%Over 4.5@1.48

53%Over 5.5@1.88

⏱️ First half

48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.24

71%Goal in the 1st half@1.41

35%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.85

74%Goal in the 2st half@1.34

⚽ Goals per team

25%Deportivo Pereira +1.5@4.01

49%América de Cali +1.5@2.05

11%Deportivo Pereira to win to nil@8.97

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Goals in the last 10 matches

Deportivo Pereira · last 10 matches

4/10+2.5 goals5/10both teams to score2.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

América de Cali · last 10 matches

4/10+2.5 goals6/10both teams to score1.9goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Deportivo PereiraAmérica de Cali

0.8Goals scored per match1.4

1.6Goals conceded per match0.8

62%Matches with over 1.5 goals70%

43%Matches with over 2.5 goals41%

46%Both teams to score43%

24%Clean sheet43%

46%Matches without scoring24%

2.8Corners won per match4.2

2.7Yellow cards per match2.9

Deportivo Pereira: 37 matches · América de Cali: 46 matches (all competitions with data).

Deportivo Pereira at home · América de Cali away

Deportivo Pereira at home

3G7E8P

LWWDL

América de Cali away

8G6E8P

DDWDD

When do they score and concede?

Deportivo Pereira · goals by minute in 35 matches scored conceded

América de Cali · goals by minute in 44 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Deportivo Pereira

Scores first in 11 of 30 matches and wins 4 of them.

Concedes first in 19 and avoids defeat in 3.

América de Cali

Scores first in 19 of 39 matches and wins 17 of them.

Concedes first in 20 and avoids defeat in 12.

Players in form

Deportivo Pereira

Y. Quinones · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches

A. Plata · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

J. A. Bermudez Correa · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

América de Cali

L. Quinones · 1 gol, 2 assists in 4 matches

Y. Guzman · 2 goals, 0 assists in 5 matches

J. Palacios · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

3Deportivo Pereira to win

1Draws

6América de Cali to win

10 matches · 2.6 goals per match

Recent meetings
Fecha	Local		Visitante	Competition
09-09-2026	América de Cali	4-1	Deportivo Pereira	Copa Colombia
03-05-2026	América de Cali	1-0	Deportivo Pereira	Primera A
14-08-2025	Deportivo Pereira	2-1	América de Cali	Primera A
01-03-2025	América de Cali	2-0	Deportivo Pereira	Primera A
15-09-2024	América de Cali	1-0	Deportivo Pereira	Primera A
02-03-2024	Deportivo Pereira	2-0	América de Cali	Primera A

Standings · Apertura

América de Cali es 4.º con 33 pts y Deportivo Pereira 20.º con 10: 23 puntos de diferencia.

Primera A standings
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Form
1	Atlético Nacional	19	13	1	5	35:15	+20	40	WWWDW
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	31:24	+7	35	DWDLW
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	29:25	+4	34	LWLWL
4	América de Cali	19	10	3	6	25:15	+10	33	DWWDD
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	31:22	+9	33	WDDWW
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	27:17	+10	31	LLLWW
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	29:22	+7	29	WWLLW
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	26:26	0	28	DWLWL
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20:16	+4	27	DWDWD
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	31:23	+8	26	DWDDL
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26:24	+2	26	LLLWW
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20:25	-5	26	WLWWL
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	26:20	+6	23	LLWDW
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	17:20	-3	22	WLLWW
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22:27	-5	22	LDLLL
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20:33	-13	18	LWLLL
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	13:27	-14	17	WWLLL
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15:32	-17	17	LWDLW
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	22:35	-13	16	WLLWL
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	15:32	-17	10	WDWLL