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Deportivo Pereira vs América de Cali prediction
Colombia · Primera A
Deportivo Pereira
América de CaliProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Thursday, November 12 · 16:00 (Peru time) · Santiago de las Atalayas
América de Cali or draw
82%- América de Cali unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 (D D W W D)
- Away, América de Cali are 8W 6D 8L this season
- #4 in the table, Deportivo Pereira #20
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Deportivo Pereira and América de Cali meet in the Primera A.
The PickMania model gives Deportivo Pereira a 18% chance of winning, 30% for the draw and 51% for América de Cali.
2.5 total goals are expected (0.9 from Deportivo Pereira and 1.6 from América de Cali): over 2.5 goals has a 46% chance and both teams to score 53%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Deportivo Pereira 0.91 · América de Cali 1.63
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.54.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 8.6 in total · Deportivo Pereira 3.5 · América de Cali 5.1
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 6.0
⏱️ First half
48% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.21
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Deportivo Pereira: 37 matches · América de Cali: 46 matches (all competitions with data).
Deportivo Pereira at home · América de Cali away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 11 of 30 matches and wins 4 of them.
Concedes first in 19 and avoids defeat in 3.
Scores first in 19 of 39 matches and wins 17 of them.
Concedes first in 20 and avoids defeat in 12.
Players in form
Y. Quinones · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches
A. Plata · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
J. A. Bermudez Correa · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
L. Quinones · 1 gol, 2 assists in 4 matches
Y. Guzman · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches
J. Palacios · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.6 goals per match
| 2026-09-09 | América de Cali 4-1 Deportivo Pereira | Copa Colombia |
| 2026-05-03 | América de Cali 1-0 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 2025-08-14 | Deportivo Pereira 2-1 América de Cali | Primera A |
| 2025-03-02 | América de Cali 2-0 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 2024-09-15 | América de Cali 1-0 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| 2024-03-02 | Deportivo Pereira 2-0 América de Cali | Primera A |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Nacional | 19 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | +7 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | +4 | 34 |
| 4 | América de Cali | 19 | +10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | +10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | +4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | +8 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | +2 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | +6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | -17 | 10 |
More stats
Deportivo Pereira: 4 days since last match · América de Cali: 4 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.