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Deportivo La Guaira vs Carabobo FC prediction
Venezuela · Primera División
Deportivo La Guaira
Carabobo FCPre-match probabilities
Sunday, November 8 · 18:30 (Peru time) · Estadio Brigido Iriarte
Carabobo FC to score
76%- Carabobo FC scored in 37 of 47 matches this season
- Carabobo FC average 1.5 goals per match
- Ramirez is on fire: 5 goals in his last 4 matches
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Minuto a minuto
Win probability minute by minute
Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.
Probabilities
Calculated before the match.
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.07 · Carabobo FC 1.44
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.51.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 10.1 in total · Deportivo La Guaira 4.6 · Carabobo FC 5.5
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 4.3
⏱️ First half
46% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.16
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Deportivo La Guaira: 42 matches · Carabobo FC: 47 matches (all competitions with data).
Deportivo La Guaira at home · Carabobo FC away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 18 of 33 matches and wins 10 of them.
Concedes first in 15 and avoids defeat in 5.
Scores first in 24 of 40 matches and wins 22 of them.
Concedes first in 16 and avoids defeat in 6.
Players in form
Anthony Uribe · 3 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Juan Castellanos · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Juan Herrera · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Eric Ramirez · 5 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
Yohandry Orozco · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Darwin Machís · 1 gol, 1 assists in 4 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 1.9 goals per match
| 2026-10-28 | Carabobo FC 3-1 Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División |
| 2026-09-15 | Carabobo FC 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División |
| 2026-04-02 | Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 Carabobo FC | Primera División |
| 2025-09-28 | Carabobo FC 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División |
| 2025-04-17 | Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 Carabobo FC | Primera División |
| 2024-11-10 | Carabobo FC 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira | Primera División |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 26 | +26 | 57 |
| 2 | Deportivo Táchira FC | 26 | +18 | 51 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 26 | +13 | 44 |
| 4 | Carabobo FC | 26 | +14 | 41 |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 26 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 | Portuguesa FC | 26 | +10 | 39 |
| 7 | UCV | 26 | +2 | 39 |
| 8 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 26 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 | Caracas FC | 26 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 | Monagas SC | 26 | -8 | 29 |
| 11 | Zamora FC | 26 | -15 | 25 |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 26 | -21 | 25 |
| 13 | Trujillanos FC | 26 | -23 | 18 |
| 14 | Anzoátegui FC | 26 | -24 | 17 |
More stats
Deportivo La Guaira: 4 days since last match · Carabobo FC: 4 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-09 02:00 UTC.