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Deportivo Cali vs Deportes Tolima prediction
Colombia · Primera A
Deportivo Cali
Deportes TolimaProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Thursday, November 12 · 16:00 (Peru time) · Estadio Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali or draw
78%- Deportivo Cali unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 (D W D W D)
- At home, Deportivo Cali are 10W 7D 1L this season
- Deportes Tolima in poor form: 3 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Deportivo Cali and Deportes Tolima meet in the Primera A.
The PickMania model gives Deportivo Cali a 44% chance of winning, 34% for the draw and 22% for Deportes Tolima.
2.3 total goals are expected (1.4 from Deportivo Cali and 0.9 from Deportes Tolima): over 2.5 goals has a 39% chance and both teams to score 50%.
The most likely score is 1-1.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Deportivo Cali 1.35 · Deportes Tolima 0.91
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.26.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 9.0 in total · Deportivo Cali 4.2 · Deportes Tolima 4.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 5.7
⏱️ First half
41% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 0.93
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Deportivo Cali: 37 matches · Deportes Tolima: 53 matches (all competitions with data).
Deportivo Cali at home · Deportes Tolima away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 20 of 30 matches and wins 14 of them.
Concedes first in 10 and avoids defeat in 4.
Scores first in 21 of 43 matches and wins 15 of them.
Concedes first in 22 and avoids defeat in 5.
Players in form
N. Benedetti · 2 goles, 0 assists in 4 matches
J. Martinez · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches
C. Bacca · 1 gol, 0 assists in 4 matches
A. Parra Osorio · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
E. Valencia · 2 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
L. Sanchez · 2 goles, 0 assists in 2 matches
Head to head
10 matches · 2.7 goals per match
| 2026-05-03 | Deportes Tolima 1-1 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| 2025-10-25 | Deportes Tolima 2-1 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| 2025-05-03 | Deportivo Cali 1-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| 2024-09-08 | Deportes Tolima 1-1 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| 2024-02-27 | Deportivo Cali 1-2 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| 2023-11-30 | Deportivo Cali 0-2 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Nacional | 19 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | +7 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | +4 | 34 |
| 4 | América de Cali | 19 | +10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | +10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | +4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | +8 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | +2 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | +6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | -17 | 10 |
More stats
Deportivo Cali: 4 days since last match · Deportes Tolima: 3 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 09:47 UTC.