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Degerfors IF vs Gais prediction

Sweden · Allsvenskan

Degerfors IF#14 · 20 ptsLLLLD

1 - 2Full time

Gais#9 · 40 ptsWWDLL

28%27%46%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Dijan Vukojevic 57'⚽ Joackim Aberg 84'⚽ Gustav Lundgren 90'

Saturday, 7 November · 11:30 (Peru time) · Stora Valla · Referee: Adam Ladeback

🎯 Model pick

Gais to score

77%

Full data

Gais scored in 20 of 29 matches this season
Gais average 1.2 goals per match
Degerfors IF concede 1.7 goals per match

⚡ Summary

46%Gais to win@2.20 48%Over 2.5 goals@2.10 54%Both teams to score@1.87 51%Corners +9.5 (10.0)@1.9532%Cards +4.5 (3.7)@3.161-1Most likely score · 12%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

90'+2⚽ Gustav Lundgren assist William MilovanovicGais

84'⚽ Joackim Aberg assist Robin FrejGais

79'🔁 Sub: Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic · Simon JørgensenGais

78'🔁 Sub: Nasiru Moro · Sebastian OhlssonDegerfors IF

78'🔁 Sub: Noel Milleskog · Arman TaranisDegerfors IF

74'🔁 Sub: Robin Wendin Thomasson · Jonas LindbergGais

70'🔁 Sub: Samba Diatara · Jesús HernándezDegerfors IF

65'🔁 Sub: Oskar Ågren · Joackim AbergGais

65'🔁 Sub: Melvin Andersson · Gustav LundgrenGais

57'⚽ Dijan VukojevicDegerfors IF

45'🔁 Sub: Samuel Salter · Lucas HedlundGais

Win probability minute by minute

Degerfors IFDrawGais

At kick-off28%27%46%Full time0%100%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

28%Degerfors IF to win@3.57

27%Draw@3.77

46%Gais to win@2.20

Over 1.5 goals73%

Over 2.5 goals48%

Over 3.5 goals26%

Both teams to score54%

Degerfors IF or draw54%

Gais or draw72%

Degerfors IF to score66%

Gais to score77%

Most likely scores

1-112%0-111%1-29%0-09%0-28%

Expected goals per the model: Degerfors IF 1.11 · Gais 1.49

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 2.60.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.0 in total · Degerfors IF 4.7 · Gais 5.3

61%Over 8.5@1.63

51%Over 9.5@1.95

41%Over 10.5@2.42

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 3.7 · el árbitro Adam Ladeback saca 3.0 por partido

48%Over 3.5@2.08

32%Over 4.5@3.16

19%Over 5.5@5.18

⏱️ First half

44% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.14

68%Goal in the 1st half@1.47

32%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@3.15

77%Goal in the 2st half@1.30

⚽ Goals per team

30%Degerfors IF +1.5@3.28

44%Gais +1.5@2.28

15%Degerfors IF to win to nil@6.80

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

1.43Expected goals (xG)0.83

5Shots on target4

2Saves4

1Offsides1

14Shots12

3Corners5

21Fouls11

0Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

41Possession %59

Goals in the last 10 matches

Degerfors IF · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Gais · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals4/10both teams to score2.5goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Degerfors IFGais

0.8Goals scored per match1.2

1.7Goals conceded per match1.1

85%Matches with over 1.5 goals69%

48%Matches with over 2.5 goals38%

41%Both teams to score34%

11%Clean sheet41%

48%Matches without scoring31%

4.7Corners won per match5.3

2.0Yellow cards per match2.3

Degerfors IF: 27 matches · Gais: 29 matches (all competitions with data).

Degerfors IF at home · Gais away

Degerfors IF at home

3G2E8P

LLLWW

Gais away

4G2E8P

WLWLL

When do they score and concede?

Degerfors IF · goals by minute in 26 matches scored conceded

Gais · goals by minute in 28 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Degerfors IF

Scores first in 7 of 26 matches and wins 5 of them.

Concedes first in 19 and avoids defeat in 3.

Gais

Scores first in 14 of 26 matches and wins 11 of them.

Concedes first in 12 and avoids defeat in 2.

Players in form

Degerfors IF

Ludvig Fritzson · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

N. Girmai · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

A. Taranis · 1 gol, 0 assists in 5 matches

Gais

Nikola·Vasic · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

R. Wendin Thomasson · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

A. Cardaklija · 1 gol, 0 assists in 2 matches

Head to head

2Degerfors IF to win

4Draws

4Gais to win

10 matches · 2.1 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-05-16	Gais 1-1 Degerfors IF	Allsvenskan
2025-07-19	Degerfors IF 0-3 Gais	Allsvenskan
2025-04-13	Gais 2-0 Degerfors IF	Allsvenskan
2024-02-24	Degerfors IF 2-2 Gais	Svenska Cupen
2023-02-09	Gais 1-0 Degerfors IF	Friendlies Clubs
2020-11-07	Degerfors IF 2-1 Gais	Superettan

Standings

Allsvenskan standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Hammarby FF	28	+37	58
2	Sirius	28	+23	58
3	Djurgardens IF	28	+29	52
4	BK Hacken	28	+17	49
5	IF Elfsborg	28	+11	46
6	Vasteras SK FK	28	+2	45
7	Malmo FF	28	+6	41
8	AIK Stockholm	28	-3	41
9	Gais	28	+8	40
10	IFK Goteborg	28	-10	39
11	IF Brommapojkarna	28	-5	35
12	Mjallby AIF	28	-13	28
13	Kalmar FF	28	-18	26
14	Degerfors IF	28	-25	20
15	Orgryte IS	28	-27	20
16	Halmstad	28	-32	20

More stats

Referee: Adam Ladeback

42 matches · 2.8 yellows and 0.21 reds per match · 0.11 penalties

Half-time

Degerfors IF: 6 days since last match · Gais: 4 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-07 19:00 UTC.