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Debreceni VSC vs Ujpest prediction

Hungary · NB I

Debreceni VSC#4 · 22 ptsWWWDL

3 - 1Full time

Ujpest#6 · 18 ptsWLLDW

44%30%26%

Pre-match probabilities

⚽ Ákos Szendrei 39'⚽ Aljosa Matko 42'⚽ Vilmos Csanad Denes 49'⚽ florian cibla 85'

Sunday, November 8 · 09:30 (Peru time) · Nagyerdei Stadion

🎯 Model pick

Debreceni VSC to score

83%

Full data

Debreceni VSC scored in 12 of 16 matches this season
Debreceni VSC average 1.4 goals per match
Ujpest concede 1.4 goals per match

⚡ Summary

44%Debreceni VSC to win@2.26 60%Over 2.5 goals@1.66 66%Both teams to score@1.51 56%Corners +9.5 (10.5)@1.7845%Cards +4.5 (4.5)@2.201-1Most likely score · 13%

@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Minuto a minuto

88'🔁 Sub: Josua Mejias · gergo terczaDebreceni VSC

85'⚽ florian cibla assist Josua MejiasDebreceni VSC

84'🔁 Sub: Etienne Amenyido · Márton Milán VargaUjpest

82'🟨 Tizian Valentino ScharmerUjpest

74'🔁 Sub: Vilmos Csanad Denes · Imre egriDebreceni VSC

74'🔁 Sub: Balazs Dzsudzsak · florian ciblaDebreceni VSC

65'🟨 blaz boskovicDebreceni VSC

59'🔁 Sub: Dávid Patai · Sergi SamperDebreceni VSC

59'🔁 Sub: Dominik Kocsis · Sohan BaldoniDebreceni VSC

55'🔁 Sub: Gleofilo Vlijter · Muhamed TijaniUjpest

55'🔁 Sub: Matija Ljujic · Arne MaierUjpest

54'🟨 Matija LjujicUjpest

49'⚽ Vilmos Csanad Denes assist Balazs DzsudzsakDebreceni VSC

45'+13🟨 Mario ZekeUjpest

45'+12🟨 Dávid PataiDebreceni VSC

45'+1🟨 Ábel KrajcsovicsUjpest

45'🔁 Sub: Ábel Krajcsovics · Krisztofer HorvathUjpest

45'🔁 Sub: Mario Zeke · Tizian Valentino ScharmerUjpest

42'⚽ Aljosa MatkoUjpest

39'⚽ Ákos Szendrei assist blaz boskovicDebreceni VSC

23'📺 blaz boskovicDebreceni VSC

Win probability minute by minute

Debreceni VSCDrawUjpest

At kick-off44%30%26%Full time100%0%0%

Calculated with the PickMania model: each team's expected goals are spread over the time remaining and recalculated after every goal.

Probabilities

Calculated before the match.

44%Debreceni VSC to win@2.26

30%Draw@3.37

26%Ujpest to win@3.83

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals60%

Over 3.5 goals41%

Both teams to score66%

Debreceni VSC or draw74%

Ujpest or draw56%

Debreceni VSC to score83%

Ujpest to score75%

Most likely scores

1-113%2-18%2-28%0-06%1-06%

Expected goals per the model: Debreceni VSC 1.82 · Ujpest 1.40

How many goals will there be?

Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.22.

Corners, cards and first half

🚩 Corners

Expected: 10.5 in total · Debreceni VSC 5.5 · Ujpest 4.9

66%Over 8.5@1.51

56%Over 9.5@1.78

46%Over 10.5@2.16

Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.

🟨 Cards

Expected: 4.5

62%Over 3.5@1.61

45%Over 4.5@2.20

31%Over 5.5@3.24

⏱️ First half

47% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.52

78%Goal in the 1st half@1.28

45%Over 1.5 in the 1st half@2.23

82%Goal in the 2st half@1.22

⚽ Goals per team

54%Debreceni VSC +1.5@1.84

41%Ujpest +1.5@2.45

19%Debreceni VSC to win to nil@5.37

Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.

Match stats

6Shots on target4

3Saves3

2Offsides6

15Shots14

2Yellow cards4

8Corners6

21Fouls16

0Red cards0

53Possession %47

1.92Expected goals (xG)0.91

Goals in the last 10 matches

Debreceni VSC · last 10 matches

6/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score3.3goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Ujpest · last 10 matches

5/10+2.5 goals7/10both teams to score2.6goals per match

Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.

Season comparison

Debreceni VSCUjpest

1.4Goals scored per match1.7

1.6Goals conceded per match1.4

75%Matches with over 1.5 goals83%

50%Matches with over 2.5 goals58%

50%Both teams to score75%

38%Clean sheet0%

25%Matches without scoring25%

7.0Corners won per match5.0

2.6Yellow cards per match1.8

Debreceni VSC: 16 matches · Ujpest: 12 matches (all competitions with data).

Debreceni VSC at home · Ujpest away

Debreceni VSC at home

3G2E3P

WLDDW

Ujpest away

1G2E3P

LDDLW

When do they score and concede?

Debreceni VSC · goals by minute in 16 matches scored conceded

Ujpest · goals by minute in 12 matches scored conceded

The first goal

Debreceni VSC

Scores first in 8 of 14 matches and wins 6 of them.

Concedes first in 6 and avoids defeat in 3.

Ujpest

Scores first in 3 of 12 matches and wins 1 of them.

Concedes first in 9 and avoids defeat in 6.

Players in form

Debreceni VSC

Sohan Baldoni · 3 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

blaz boskovic · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Bence Batik · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

Ujpest

Etienne Amenyido · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches

Ábel Krajcsovics · 2 goles, 0 assists in 5 matches

G. Vlijter · 1 gol, 1 assists in 5 matches

Head to head

4Debreceni VSC to win

0Draws

6Ujpest to win

10 matches · 3.5 goals per match

Recent meetings
2026-08-02	Ujpest 4-2 Debreceni VSC	NB I
2026-05-16	Debreceni VSC 2-1 Ujpest	NB I
2026-02-13	Ujpest 2-1 Debreceni VSC	NB I
2025-10-26	Debreceni VSC 5-2 Ujpest	NB I
2025-04-13	Ujpest 2-1 Debreceni VSC	NB I
2024-12-08	Debreceni VSC 1-2 Ujpest	NB I

Standings

NB I standings
#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	13	+3	24
2	Ferencvarosi TC	12	+12	23
3	Gyori ETO FC	13	+7	23
4	Debreceni VSC	13	+6	22
5	Paks	13	+2	20
6	Ujpest	13	+1	18
7	Vasas	13	+1	16
8	Budapest Honved	12	-3	14
9	Zalaegerszegi TE	13	-7	13
10	MTK Budapest	13	-9	13
11	Kisvarda FC	13	-3	12
12	Nyiregyhaza	13	-10	12

More stats

Half-time

Debreceni VSC: 7 days since last match · Ujpest: 6 days

Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-08 17:00 UTC.