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Czechia vs Spain prediction
International · UEFA Nations League
Czechia
SpainProbabilidad de cada resultado según el modelo
Thursday, November 12 · 14:45 (Peru time) · Stadion Letná · Referee: Nikola Dabanovic
Spain to win
79%- Spain have won 5 of their last 5 (W W W W W)
- Away, Spain are 3W 0D 0L this season
- Czechia in poor form: 4 defeats in their last 5
⚡ Summary
@ = fair odds (no margin). If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
📝 Preview
Czechia and Spain meet in the UEFA Nations League.
The PickMania model gives Czechia a 8% chance of winning, 13% for the draw and 79% for Spain.
3.5 total goals are expected (0.8 from Czechia and 2.8 from Spain): over 2.5 goals has a 67% chance and both teams to score 47%.
The most likely score is 0-2.
Probabilities
Most likely scores
Expected goals per the model: Czechia 0.76 · Spain 2.75
How many goals will there be?
Pink: 2 goals or fewer (under 2.5) · Orange: 3 or more (over 2.5) · Total expected goals: 3.51.
Corners, cards and first half
🚩 Corners
Expected: 7.5 in total · Czechia 1.7 · Spain 5.8
Grey: 9 or fewer · orange: 10 or more.
🟨 Cards
Expected: 3.8 · el árbitro Nikola Dabanovic saca 4.2 por partido
⏱️ First half
50% of these teams' goals come before half-time · expected in the 1st half: 1.75
⚽ Goals per team
Estimates based on each team's (and the referee's) season averages, not the goals model. @ = fair odds: the odds matching that probability with no margin. If the bookmaker pays more, there's value.
Goals in the last 10 matches
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Pink bar = over 2.5 goals · dot = result (green W, grey D, red L) · "BTTS" = both teams scored · oldest to newest.
Season comparison
Czechia: 6 matches · Spain: 8 matches (all competitions with data).
Czechia at home · Spain away
When do they score and concede?
The first goal
Scores first in 2 of 6 matches and wins 2 of them.
Concedes first in 4 and avoids defeat in 0.
Scores first in 6 of 7 matches and wins 5 of them.
Concedes first in 1 and avoids defeat in 1.
Players in form
A. Hlozek · 0 goles, 2 assists in 5 matches
Patrik Schick · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches
Tomáš Chorý · 1 gol, 0 assists in 1 matches
Lamine Yamal · 4 goles, 1 assists in 4 matches
Mikel Merino · 3 goles, 1 assists in 5 matches
Alex Baena · 1 gol, 2 assists in 5 matches
Head to head
4 matches · 2.8 goals per match
| 2026-10-03 | Spain 3-1 Czechia | UEFA Nations League |
| 2022-06-12 | Spain 2-0 Czechia | UEFA Nations League |
| 2022-06-05 | Czechia 2-2 Spain | UEFA Nations League |
| 2016-06-13 | Spain 1-0 Czechia | Euro Championship |
Standings
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | +11 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | -10 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 4 | -8 | 0 |
More stats
12 matches · 4.2 yellows and 0.00 reds per match · 0.20 penalties
Czechia: 37 days since last match · Spain: 37 days
Probabilities calculated by the PickMania model (Poisson + Dixon–Coles with team data and market odds). Updated: 2026-11-11 08:47 UTC.